Friday 23 December 2011

Week 17: Boxing Day & NYE matchdays

*Witty comment about last set of fixtures/Despair at Arsenal mauling in Manchester....*

New set of fixtures:

Chelsea vs Fulham - CHELSEA
Arsenal vs Wolves -ARSENAL
Bolton vs Newcastle - DRAW
Liverpool vs Blackburn - LIVERPOOL
Man Utd vs Wigan - MAN UTD
Sunderland vs Everton - DRAW
WBA vs Man City - MAN CITY
Stoke vs Aston Villa - STOKE
Swansea vs QPR - DRAW
Norwich vs Spurs - SPURS

and finally, the NYE games:

Liverpool vs Newcastle - LIVERPOOL
Man Utd vs Blackburn - MAN UTD
Arsenal vs QPR - ARSENAL
Bolton vs Wolves - BOLTON
Chelsea vs Aston Villa - CHELSEA
Norwich vs Fulham - NORWICH
Stoke vs Wigan - STOKE
Swansea vs Spurs - SPURS
WBA vs Everton - DRAW
Sunderland vs Man City - MAN CITY

I'll be back for the New Year's day games, so will do a new blog for that! However, if people know they aren't going to be able to do another blog, then feel free to give your predictions for those games in the comments and I'll sort it out.

That's going to be one hell of a stats session!

Good luck!

Wednesday 14 December 2011

Week 16 Bets: Remote Posting....

This post (and all the others for the next few weeks) have been written in advance and set to post automatically at the relevant time. So please excuse the total lack of knowledge about current affairs/weather/football scores etc.

Blackburn vs WBA - DRAW
Everton vs Norwich - EVERTON
Fulham vs Bolton - FULHAM
Newcastle vs Swansea - DRAW
Wolves vs Stoke - WOLVES
Wigan vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
QPR vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Aston Villa vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Spurs vs Sunderland - SPURS
Man City vs Arsenal - DRAW

No idea what my odds are! Will try and post a bet from afar!

The second round of games this week:

Wolves vs Norwich - NORWICH
Blackburn vs Bolton - BOLTON
Aston Villa vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Man City vs Stoke -MAN CITY
Newcastle vs WBA - NEWCASTLE
Everton vs Swansea - EVERTON
Fulham vs Man Utd - DRAW
QPR vs Sunderland - QPR
Wigan vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Spurs vs Chelsea - SPURS

Good luck guys, and check back on Thursday for the new blog post!

Tuesday 6 December 2011

Week 14 Results, Week 15 Predictions & an apology!

It was a very tight week this week, with nearly everyone doing alright. I think the key games were the Chelsea win, along with the Sunday games, and then last night's result at Liverpool. I say that, because 3 of those 4 games were the only games were the result that occurred wasn't the most predicted result between us. These 4 games separated the men from the boys, or rather the grizzled obsessives from the chancers. Or something like that...

I think it's fair to say that the "Big 6" have now broken away, and I supposed there is an argument to say that Liverpool are straggling behind in that group. The question will be, can Spurs & Arsenal keep up their good form, and can Man Utd & Chelsea improve to maintain pressure. I know Utd have been grinding out the wins, but they haven't been playing well, and unless they start scoring more, I think that over the next month they'll drop some points as fatigue sets in (and Rio's dodgy back goes again). Man City look relentless meanwhile, like some sky-blue verion of the Soviet forces at the Battle of Stalingrad (I may have watched Enemy at the Gates recently....). I was going to ask who can stop them....but that would be asking who is going to try and be the Nazis...so I think I'll quit whilst I'm behind.

Full breakdown:

This week, 16 people played
Most popular predicted result: Spurs & Man City WINS (16/16 or 100% concordance)
Most disputed result: Blackburn vs Swansea (6-5-5 split)

Longest odds: Ryan Wain 5565/1
Shortest odds: Joe Miller 747/1

Best predictor: Lawro, Doron Salomon, Joe Miller & Yanik Joshi (again - it's good for us all he doesn't qualify for the leaderboard...yet) (7/10)
Worst predictor: Ryan Wain (3/10)

Best predicted result: Spurs & Man City WINS (16/16)
Worst predicted result: Stoke & Fulham WINS (1/16 - congrats to me & Doron)

Villain of the week: I'm breaking my own rule here. Technically, none of us performed well enough for there to be a villain, but the David Luiz incident was so spectacularly bad, and so game changing that I'm going to have to go with MIKE DEAN.

Everyone's results:


Because the results were so tightly grouped, there wasn't much movement on the leaderboard. Lawro jumps up 2 places, but otherwise it's as you were. There are a couple of players who should join the leaderboard in the next few weeks, and shake it up a little. Joel Salamon stays close enough to Joe Miller to keep him honest.



I'm going away for 3 weeks tomorrow, and am not entirely sure what my internet access is going to be like. There will definitely still be posts though - so life will continue as normal for you all, although I won't be hassling you! If for whatever reason, I can't get a bets post done one week, please just stick the predos in the comments for the last week's post and I'll sort out all the results when I get back. Total nightmare - going on holiday over the xmas period. The football schedule is so unhelpful....

Here are my predos for this weekend's games:

Norwich vs Newcastle - NEWCASTLE
Arsenal vs Everton - ARSENAL
Liverpool vs QPR - DRAW
Swansea vs Fulham - DRAW
WBA vs Wigan - WBA
Bolton vs Aston Villa - BOLTON
Man Utd vs Wolves - MAN UTD
Sunderland vs Blackburn - SUNDERLAND
Stoke vs Tottenham - SPURS
Chelsea vs Man City - CHELSEA

Total odds: 3618/1 with PaddyPower.

Good luck guys, have a great festive season however you celebrate it, and set a reminder for yourself to check the blog every week!

Thursday 1 December 2011

Week 14: Could be a tricky one...

So we've entered December, and I finally feel the Christmas period is upon us. Not 'cos I've just had my first mince pie, nor because Mariah Carey's warbling (not wobbling...filthy buggers) amused me the other day.

Nope, it's 'cos we've had a sacking! Can't reach Christmas without some poor manager or other losing their job. Steve Bruce must have seen it coming, but similarly must have wondered why couldn't the Venkys lot have bought Sunderland instead - their patience seems inexhaustible!

Quite a nice group of fixtures this week I think - nothing too exciting (although AVB must be nervous if they don't get something this weekend), but I reckon that works both ways. It's going to be tricky to call some of these fixtures, so I reckon we might have some interesting scores this week.

I've gone for:

Newcastle vs Chelsea - DRAW
Wigan vs Arsenal -ARSENAL
Spurs vs Bolton - SPURS
Man City vs Norwich - MAN CITY
QPR vs WBA - QPR
Blackburn vs Swansea - DRAW
Aston Villa vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Everton vs Stoke -STOKE
Wolves vs Sunderland - DRAW
Fulham vs Liverpool -LIVERPOOL

Total odds of 3908/1 (Paddypower)

Bets/predos in the comments as usual.

Please remember to get them in before kick-off in the first game - otherwise you'll be penalised!

Good luck everyone!

Sunday 27 November 2011

Week 13 Results: Putting football in it's place

A few weeks ago, I discussed the fact that my early-season hypothesis that low average odds equalled higher average scores was not quite as clear-cut as you'd think using normal Bookie law. This week provides further evidence against the hypothesis (or for the null hypothesis, depending on how you look at it) - this week was the 3rd lowest scoring week since records began (i.e., beginning of the season), whilst the average odds were relatively low.

Basically, as JT mentioned in the comments (referring to my potential future career, but it fits here...), none of us should take up a job predicting football scores. However, it's fair to say that the bookies haven't got it down to an exact science either!

A lot of people seem to have decided that draws are a statistically less likely option, and therefore play few of them. I haven't been collecting the data whether that is true or not (probably very easy to find out), but this week, the 4 draws threw a lot of people off, especially those at the Emirates and Old Trafford.

To the stats:

This week, 16 people played
Most popular predicted result: Arsenal & Chelsea WINS (16/16 or 100% concordance)
Most disputed result: Norwich vs QPR (7-5-4 split)

Longest odds: Me, 4193/1
Shortest odds: Joe Miller 726/1

Best predictor: Me & Yanik Joshi (6/10)
Worst predictor: Sam Ruback (2/10) - 2nd week in a row. Doing his bit to shift the crisis headlines off AVB....

Best predicted result: Chelsea WIN (16/16)
Worst predicted result: Arsenal vs Fulham DRAW & Wigan WIN (0/16)

Villain of the week: None this week - remember that the villain is for the game and not for general dreadfulness. So whilst the Newcastle penalty was a tad on the generous side, there can't be 1 mistake that had a large enough bearing on this game, as no-one scored highly enough.

Full breakdown below:

To the leaderboard - and a new entry this week. Joel Salomon leaps into 2nd place, behind Joe Miller who maintains his lead. A packed midtable with a 4-way tie, whilst a little movement down in the lower half sees Sam Ruback slip down the table. Ryan missed this week, and therefore the opportunity to move off the bottom. As always, only those who have played in >2/3 of available weeks go on the leaderboard, so thats 9/13 weeks. Next week, we should have at least 1 new entry, but any brand new players from now won't make it onto this season's leaderboard. However, all those semi-regular players still can get onto the leaderboard and see if they can take home the bragging rights.


I know its been a long post today, but I'd just like to end with a mention of the terrible news from Sunday. I obviously have no personal connection to Gary Speed, but he seemed like a great guy on the pitch, and his career speaks for itself. The beautiful, heartfelt plaudits that he has received since the news of his death broke show his standing in the game. I'd just like to add my own condolences to his family and friends, and hope that they find a shred of comfort in the esteem in which Gary was evidently held by everyone who knew him. RIP.

In all of what was said, I think the most poignant message ironically was delivered a few hours before Gary Speed died. Stan Collymore, who I usually have very little truck with (and he has in fact blocked me on twitter for disagreeing with him), posted a series of tweets about his own longstanding battle with depression. One tweet in particular, gave a fantastic insight into his perspective on the illness, and if you haven't yet read it, I really recommend that you do here. He writes:

"So fit and healthy one day,mind,body and soul withering and dying the next.This to me is the most frightening of experiences,and one fellow suffers i'm sure will agree is the "thud" that sets the Depression rolling."

I've had quite a lot of exposure to depression and other mental health problems as a result of my training, and aside from the cliches that "it's a real disease" and "you can't just snap out of it" that I'd previously heard, the striking thing from my perspective was that literally anyone can suffer from a psychiatric disorder. Young or old, rich or poor, whatever ethnicity, religion etc that you like. Robbie Savage gave a tear-filled interview on BBC News where he said "he had everything - 2 gorgeous children, a beautiful wife...". I'm not really sure where I'm going with this, other than to say that any of us have the potential to be affected by depression either directly or through friends/family in our lives, and it's really important for us to try to understand the issues and be as supportive as possible.

The stories of Gary Speed, Robert Enke and all the others who, from our perspective were living the dream, but couldn't see a light at the end of the tunnel should serve some purpose; to leave a legacy that will help others suffering similarly in the future.

On that sombre note, have a great week and I'll see you all back here on Thursday for the new set of fixtures.

Thursday 24 November 2011

Week 12 results & Week 13 bets!

I've been crazy busy this week, so apologies for not posting the results sooner. The upshot is that I think I've found a potential career - so yay for me!

Quite a lot of time has passed since the weekend, so I'm not going to dissect the results and will go straight to the stats!

This week, 18 people played
Most popular predicted result: Spurs win (16/18 or 89% concordance)
Most disputed result:WBA vs Bolton (4-6-8 split)

Longest odds: Joe Miller 23279/1
Shortest odds: Will O Doherty 2937/1

Best Predictor: Yanik Joshi & Josh Daniels (7/10)
Worst Predictor: Sam Ruback (3/10)

Best predicted result: Spurs win (16/18)
Worst predicted result: QPR win (2/18)

Villain of the week: Noone this week, We were all too poor....

Full breakdown below:

To the leaderboard: some minor changes in the upper half, quite stagnant in the lower half. The big shock is that Ryan Wain has finally hauled level right at the bottom, and may move off next week for the first time this season! Nick Collins also cuts Joe Miller's lead at the top....exciting times...

Next week, we should see a couple of new faces added to the leaderboard. Plenty of time left for anyone to join in!


To this weekend's games:

Pick of the weekend comes at Anfield where the scousers will have to decide whether they value their own pride more than sticking it to Man Utd...AVB looks to get back on track at home to Wolves and Sunderland vs Wigan tries to not be the last game on MOTD...

My bets are:

Stoke vs Blackburn - STOKE
Sunderland vs Wigan -SUNDERLAND
Norwich vs QPR - DRAW
Man Utd vs Newcastle - DRAW
Chelsea vs Wolves - CHELSEA
Bolton vs Everton - EVERTON
WBA vs Spurs - SPURS
Arsenal vs Fulham -ARSENAL
Swansea vs Aston Villa - VILLA
Liverpool vs Man City - DRAW

Total odds, 4193/1 with Paddypower.

Bets in the comments below, with odds if you have them! Good luck!

Friday 18 November 2011

Week 12: I Hate International Breaks

Well that was a fun week wasn't it...

England do a backs to the wall performance against the best team in the world and get a relatively indifferent reaction. England play well against a disinterested Sweden side, and get an indifferent reaction.

Ireland qualify in style for Euro 2012 and Wales fans boo their only 2 top class players.

As you may have gleaned from the tone above, international football just doesn't do it for me (I'm also grumpy after a long week of weddings and night shifts). But, thankfully, the Premier league has come riding to my rescue on her white steed Scudamore.

This week sees the top 2 defences in the league clash at in blue Manchester, and in blue London, one of my favourite fixtures in the PL, Chelsea vs Liverpool. All blue vs all red....very subbuteo!

My predos are as follows:

Norwich vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Sunderland vs Fulham - SUNDERLAND
Wigan vs Blackburn - DRAW
Man City vs Newcastle - DRAW
Everton vs Wolves - EVERTON
Stoke vs QPR -STOKE
WBA vs Bolton -DRAW
Swansea vs Man Utd -MAN UTD
Chelsea vs Liverpool -DRAW
Spurs vs Aston Villa -SPURS

Total odds of 4724/1 with PaddyPower.

As per usual, bets in the comments below! Good luck!

Monday 7 November 2011

Week 11 Results: How many bites do we need?


There have been 2 conclusions drawn so far in this game:

1) As a rule, we're generally crap at predicting 10 results
2) The lower the average odds, the higher the average scores

This week, the latter was massively endorsed.

On Saturday evening, after 7 games, as a group we were doing remarkably well. Several were on 5/7, a few on 6/7 and even 1 on 7/7. Sunday's games weren't quite as good for most, but the scores were still really high. In fact, this was the joint highest scoring week to date - with an average of 6.33.

Enough vague waffle, here's the information that counts:

This week, 15 people played
Most popular predicted results: Arsenal & Man Utd WINS (14/15)
Most disputed result: Bolton vs Stoke (3-6-6 split)

Longest odds: Doron Salomon with a massive 57555.9/1 - no idea how he got odds like that (over 4x my odds)

Best Predictor: Nick Collins, Yanik Joshi & Joel Salomon with a record 9/10!!!
Worst Predictor: JT with a rather disappointing 4/10

Best predicted result: Arsenal & Man Utd WINS (14/15)
Worst predicted result: Liverpool vs Swansea DRAW (1/15 - congrats to Yanik)

Villain of the week: The games that cost people the 10 were Liverpool/Swansea and Bolton/Stoke. As Bolton thumped 5t0ke, we can't pick out any incident that changed the result (even though Davies goal was hilarious), so I'm going to have to go for the last minute Kuyt disallowed goal that would have given Nick & Joel 10's. Correct decision from the lineswoman - so by a foot, Dirk Kuyt is Villain of the week....


Full results:


Now to the leaderboard. Big changes this week, Joe Miller regaining top place and Nick Collins storming up the table after his big week. I've dropped a place, and the bottom half of the table has the same faces, in a different order. Ryan remains at the bottom, but working his way slowly closer to the next man.

Remember, only those players who have played >2/3 of weeks qualify for the leaderboard - 8/11 weeks so far. In a couple of weeks, there should be some new additions to the leaderboard. There is still plenty of the season left for anyone to get on the table and even win overall - even if they havn't yet played a week - so if you know someone who might be interested, then forward them the blog next time.

I'll be taking a break this week for the international break, so enjoy your weekends and I'll see you all back here (plus a few new people!!!) for the resumption of the Premier League.

Ciao for now.

Thursday 3 November 2011

Week 10 Results & Week 11 Bets

It was a weekend of high odds, with plenty of us taking the approach that there were sure to be a few upsets.

In the end, it was us that were upset, as the only real "shock" was Arsenal winning at Chelsea, which is hardly going to register on football's Richter scale. All that goes to show is that the bookies know better than us, and they offer high odds for a reason. I should add the word "durrrr" to the end of that.

Therefore, on the whole, scores were pretty average this week, with about 2/3 scoring 4 or 5.

All the stats:

This week, 17 people played
Most popular predicted result: Man City WIN (17/17 - 100% concordance)
Most disputed result: Stoke vs Newcastle (6-6-5 split)

Longest Odds: Josh Daniels 48,874/1

Best Predictor: Yanik Joshi & Joe Miller (7/10)
Worst predictor: A lot of people on 4/10 - see graph below!

Best Predicted result: Man City WIN (17/17)
Worst predicted result: Arsenal WIN & Sunderland/Aston Villa DRAW (4/17) - shame on all the Gooners who went for a Chelsea win...

No villain of the week this week as no-one scored high enough for one event to have drastically altered their chances of winning.

Full results:


To the leaderboard; as usual only those who have played >2/3 of weeks qualify - so this week that's 7/10 games. Therefore, we have a new entrant - Nick Collins - who has slotted in to lower mid-table. Will O'Doherty maintains his lead at the top, and along with Joe Miller is pulling away ever so slightly from the chasing pack. Ryan maintaining his customary position at the foot of the table, although he is closer than he has been for a while to moving up a spot.



To this week's predictions:

Newcastle vs Everton - NEWCASTLE
Blackburn vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Arsenal vs WBA - ARSENAL
Liverpool vs Swansea - LIVERPOOL
Man Utd vs Sunderland - MAN UTD
Aston Villa vs Norwich - DRAW
QPR vs Man City - MAN CITY
Wolves vs Wigan - WIGAN
Bolton vs Stoke - STOKE
Fulham vs Spurs - DRAW

Playing it nice and safe nets me a pathetic 1375/1 from PaddyPower.

Bets/Predos in the comments below as per usual.

Good Luck!

Thursday 27 October 2011

Week 10: Going all out this week

Matchday 10 of the Premier League season is upon us - and we will have played 25% of the season already. Where the hell did that go?

I've gone for some long odds this weekend - I feel with some Halloween mischief there are upsets to be had. The question is, have I predicted them correctly!

I've gone for:

Everton vs Man Utd - DRAW
Chelsea vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Swansea vs Bolton - SWANSEA
Norwich vs Blackburn - NORWICH
Sunderland vs Aston Villa - SUNDERLAND
Man City vs Wolves - MAN CITY
Wigan vs Fulham - DRAW
WBA vs Liverpool - WBA
Spurs vs QPR - SPURS
Stoke vs Newcastle - DRAW

Total odds: 12,523/1 with PaddyPower

Can I ask that when you copy & paste the matches into the comments that you keep them in the same order....it's a pain when I realise halfway through that I've been mixing matches up!

Post your predos/bets in the comments below as usual, and feel free to spread the word! Still plenty of the season to go!

Good luck!

Monday 24 October 2011

Week 9 Results: Trying so hard not to gloat....

So yeah.....pretty standard day of sport yesterday....Rugby World Cup Final (glad the All Blacks won....although they didn't half make life difficult for themselves), my first NFL game (awesomely OTT, definitely going back again), Arsenal beating the Troglodytes and...

some of the most mind-boggling results ever in the PL. Sunderland actually winning a game.....bloody hell!

Not wanting to dwell too much on Chelsea or the game at Old Trafford...suffice it to say that some poor team is going to be very upset to be playing Man Utd in the near future, and that I'm glad I backed City for the league in August.

No gloating over Utd fans from me (8-2....can't really go there) but my mouth was agape when I saw the scores come in.

This week was really interesting from a game perspective. Most people who posted had fairly short odds. I reckon that on an average week, the odds for a 10 match accumulator are around 3000/1 (£30 for 1p stake if maths make your eyes go funny).

This week, I was seeing odds of between 30-50% of this on average....and normally, when that happens, it's a reasonably high scoring week. Stands to reason....people are more confident as the games are easier to pick a result in, the bookies agree and so the odds are shorter.

We saw that this week....8/10 matches had more than 70% agreeing on the result, meaning that most of us thought roughly the same way about how the matches were going to play out this weekend.

To put it another way, there are (evil) multiple choice exams where you choose your answer (A-E) and then choose how confident of your answer you are (1-5). If you choose 3 - average confidence - then you score 1 mark if you get it right, but 0 if you get it wrong. If you choose 5 - very confident - then you get 3 marks if you get it right, but LOSE 3 marks if you get it wrong. If you aren't sure at all (ie are just guessing), then you can only score a maximum of 0.5 marks if you get it right.

This week, we were all very confident that we'd all do quite well. We'd all have done very poorly, scoring negative marks all over the place!

Enough waffle, stats time!

This week, 15 people played.
Most popular predicted result: Chelsea WIN (15/15 - 100% concordance)
Most disputed result: Fulham vs Everton ( 3-6-6 split)

Longest odds: Will O'Doherty 8068/1

Best predictor: Me!!!! First time ever! - 5/10
Worst predictors: Dan Davis & Dan Grabiner - 2/10

Best predicted result: Arsenal WIN (14/15)
Worst predicted results: QPR & WBA WINS (0/15)

Interestingly, there were 3 games were only 1 player was right (Wolves/Swansea - Sam Ruback, Liverpool/Norwich - Will O'Doherty and Man Utd/Man City - Me) and only 3 games where we were "all" right - Newcastle, Arsenal & Spurs wins. (13, 14 & 11/15 respectively).

No villain of the week - we were all too poor for any single event to affect us.

Full breakdown below:

And now for the leaderboard. As per usual, you only qualify if you have played >2/3 weeks, so thats 7/9 this week. No change right at the top, but I've jumped into 2nd place, which is a season high for me. Nothing too exciting in midtable, although Dan Davis has a mini-collapse in dropping 3 places. Ryan Wain is still planted to the bottom, although by missing this week, he actually didn't do too badly. As we all did poorly, the gap between him and the rest has shrunk, although it's still a fair one. Next week, we should have a new addition to the board...something to look forward to!

Right, I think that's quite enough. Enjoy your weeks, and I'll be back here later in the week with the weekend's fixtures.

Friday 21 October 2011

Week 9: Is this the week that Man City become favourites for the title?

A later blog than I'd planned to write this week - my appendix decided that it'd be an appropriate time to want to leave the warm, comfortable environment that I've been providing him with for the last 23 years and that he wanted to see the world.

Net result - few days under the care of the NHS (strange being the other side of the curtain) and a few holes in my stomach. Might have also scared a nurse when I punched the air as Rambo scored late on in Marseille just as he'd come to take my blood pressure....

Anyway, home now and time to stick up my bets!

Wolves vs Swansea - WOLVES
Aston Villa vs WBA - VILLA
Bolton vs Sunderland - DRAW
Newcastle vs Wigan - NEWCASTLE
Liverpool vs Norwich - LIVERPOOL
Fulham vs Everton - EVERTON
Arsenal vs Stoke - ARSENAL
Man Utd vs Man City - CITY
Blackburn vs Tottenham - SPURS
QPR vs Chelsea - CHELSEA

Total odds: 1225/1 (Paddypower)

Might be some wishful thinking, might be the painkillers or it might be a genuine powershift, but I fancy City to pull away at the top this weekend!

Bets/Predos in the comments as per usual - Good luck!

Monday 17 October 2011

Week 8: All change at the top, No change at the bottom

A very strange week in the Premier League this weekend....

I'd thought that with my low odds, that it was going to be a reasonably high scoring week, but it was all over the place! The strange thing is that there were no real massive shocks, so those that scored below par should be disappointed.

Looking at some of the "betting slips" that you post, there were very few away wins predicted - just as well really as only Bolton won away.

To business then:

This week, 14 people played
Most popular predicted result: Arsenal WIN (13/14 93% concordance)
Most disputed result: Liverpool vs Man Utd (surprise surprise - 5-4-5 split) - A lot of "fan" predicting here

Longest odds: Ryan Wain 23811.80/1 (more on this later...)

Best predictor: Will O'Doherty & Feneley - 8/10
Worst Predictor: Ryan Wain - 2/10 (there's a reason his odds were so high....)

I scored a respectable 7/10 - a joint PB for me!

Best predicted result: Arsenal WIN (13/14)
Worst predicted result: Bolton WIN (2/14)

No villain of the week this week, no great controversies of any importance to the result of a game (in my view - I'm sure Man Utd fans will disagree over the foul for Gerrard's goal...)

Full breakdown below:


Massive changes to the leaderboard this week. Remember, only those players who have played >2/3 of available games (currently 6/8) qualify for the leaderboard to be fair and show genuine consistency/talent - rather than one good score and refusing to play again. A new top 3 with Will O'Doherty and Feneley regaining their status at the top, and Dan Davis continuing his steady rise. I've jumped to midtable and Ryan Wain has stayed at the bottom, and actually gone backwards. The gap from top to bottom has expanded from ~1.5 to ~2 matches, but worryingly for Ryan, he's getting further away from the man above him. Still...30 games to go...anyone can still win it...(as all Gooners are still hoping....).

I'll be sticking the new set of matches up early this week as I've got a busy week, which gives loads of time for everyone to get involved next week, including those who've disappeared for a bit....if you know them, remind them to make this part of their weekly football regime! Have a great week, will be back in a few days!

Thursday 13 October 2011

Matchday 8: Predictions

After a break for English sport to embarass itself on the world stage again, the Premier league resumes its rightful place at the pinnacle of sport.

The standout match this week is at Anfield where Kenny gets another chance to beat Fergie. Nothing too exciting elsewhere, so there's a chance for some highscores this week!

My bets are as follows:

Liverpool vs Man Utd - DRAW
QPR vs Blackburn - QPR
Wigan vs Bolton - WIGAN
Stoke vs Fulham - DRAW
Norwich vs Swansea - NORWICH
Man City vs Aston Villa - MAN CITY
Chelsea vs Everton - CHELSEA
WBA vs Wolves - WBA
Arsenal vs Sunderland - ARSENAL
Newcastle vs Spurs - DRAW

My odds are 1624/1 (Paddypower)

Predos/bets in the comments as per usual. Good luck!

Friday 7 October 2011

Matchday 7 Results: Better late than never...

Apologies for the lateness of this week's blog. It's been a bit of a manic week and I've taken advantage of the International break to put this stuff on the back burner!

Interesting set of results this week - a decent spread with the Arsenal fans solidly towards the lower half (mimicking real life....), probably due to us being unable to be rational over the North London Derby. Only 1 Arsenal fan bet against his own team - and he was punished by the footballing gods for this act of heresy with a terrible score. I'm not going to say who he was, but Moe Jiller should be ashamed of himself.

We had a new player this week, and the return of an original player - let's hope you both stick around and work your way onto the leaderboards!

Full breakdown as follows:

16 players this week
Most popular predicted result: Man Utd WIN (100% concordance)
Most disputed result: Everton vs Liverpool (4-5-7 split)

Longest odds: Ryan Wain 19568/1

Best Predictor: Richard Verber (8/10)
Worst Predictor: Feneley, Dex & Joe Miller (4/10)

Best predicted result: Man Utd WIN (16/16)
Worst predicted result: Swansea WIN (2/16)

I scored a mediocre 5/10 - again totally failing with the Sunday games. Looking ahead to the next set of fixtures, I hope it won't be the same again!

Villain of the week: Martin Atkinson for having a colossal mare and getting the Rodwell red card totally wrong in the Merseyside derby. At 0-0, halfway through the 1st half, you'd have to be the most blinkered of Scousers to think that that decision didn't have a massive impact on the game and potentially deny the Verb a colossal 9/10.

Full results:

Big changes to the leaderboard this week. Josh Daniels joins after having played the required >2/3 of weeks (5/7) and slots in at joint 3rd place. Lawro makes a dash to the top and long term high-flier Feneley crashes down to near the bottom. Ryan Wain still props the table up, but the gap between top and bottom is down to ~1.5 from more than 2 last week.


So go enjoy the international break - I personally could give a monkey's about England tonight (although Montenegro was a lovely country - got 2 of the most delicious coffees I've ever had there for under 1.5 Euro!), and my sporting kicks this weekend will be of the egg-chasing variety.

Have a great weekend and I'll see you all next week with the new set of fixtures!

Wednesday 28 September 2011

Matchday 6 Results: A weekend of Two Halves & Matchday 7 bets!


You know when you feel that some things are too good to be true? That's roughly how I felt at about 4.50 last Saturday, when I was 7/7. Things quickly went downhill from there....

Not wanting to exhaust my cliche quota for the season on one weekend, I'd just like to mention that, part of the beauty of sport is the theme of redemption - think Stuart Pearce's eye-bulging, neck-streching, fist-pumping reaction to laying his penalty demons to rest in Euro '96. It's this Boys' Own Hero to Zero feeling that gives football part of its magic. This week, one man surmised redemption....more below

The full breakdown:

15 played this week
Most popular predicted result: Liverpool & Chelsea WINS (100% concordance)
Most disputed result: Norwich vs Sunderland (3-6-6 split)

Longest odds: Josh Benson 1725.58/1
Best Predicted result: Liverpool & Chelsea WINS (15/15)
Worst Predicted result:Stoke vs Man Utd DRAW (2/15)


I scored 7/10 - so basically completely failed on the televised games....

I'd like to single out the heart warming story of redemption I told above by mentioning Will O'Doherty....who turned in a stellar performance this week, putting his horror show 0 from last week behind him and top scoring (joing with Lawro) with 8! It's the stories like that that make this blog worth running!

Villain of the week: Ryan Giggs for that horrendous miss in the last minute at Stoke. If it had been a page 3 girl, I'm sure he would have scored it. (Am I allowed to
mention his name yet?....should it read Yran Igggs?)

Full breakdown below:


The leaderboard this week sees a lot of movement, but it's all in midtable. The range is very close however, so one big week could see a new leader from just about anyone. Remember, only those who have played >2/3 of weeks are eligible for the leaderboard, so that 5/6 weeks this week, but 5/7 next - so a few more people will be added!


I'm not going to be able to push the blog so much over the next few days, so I'm sticking my bets up now and will add in Lawro retrospectively. It's Derby day in North London and Liverpool, and Norwich have their trip to Old Trafford to look forward to, bring their cameras and try not to get too embarassed.

Everton vs Liverpool - DRAW
Blackburn vs Man City - MAN CITY
Man Utd vs Norwich - MAN UTD
Aston Villa vs Wigan - ASTON VILLA
Wolves vs Newcastle - NEWCASTLE
Sunderland vs WBA - SUNDERLAND
Bolton vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Fulham vs QPR - DRAW
Swansea vs Stoke - STOKE
Tottenham vs Arsenal - ARSENAL

Total odds: 3064/1 (Paddypower)

As per usual, put your bets/predictions in the comments. Feel free to invite any mates! Normal service will be resumed from next week!

Thursday 22 September 2011

Matchday 6: Low Odds this weekend!

As I've already posted one blog tonight, and so have exhausted my words, I'm gonna make it short:

Man City vs Everton - MAN CITY
Wigan vs Spurs - SPURS
Arsenal vs Bolton - ARSENAL
Newcastle vs Blackburn - NEWCASTLE
WBA vs Fulham - DRAW
Liverpool vs Wolves - LIVERPOOL
Chelsea vs Swansea - CHELSEA
Stoke vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
QPR vs Aston Villa - QPR
Norwich vs Sunderland - DRAW

Odds: a pitiful 435/1 (Paddypower).....not sure why I'm even bothering this week....hardly gonna get rich now!

That said....I supposed this is a real chance for someone to step up and nail all 10 matches...

So over to you guys! Predictions in the comments as per usual, spread the word....Good Luck!

I'm Proud...

Today, the National Union of Students (NUS) reversed their 4 month old policy on Israel/Palestine. The old motion "Freedom for Palestine" (http://bit.ly/lFWkP3), which had been passed with numerous suspected procedural flaws had initially called for a boycott of all Israeli goods/institutions and for the NUS to affiliate to the Palestine Solidarity Campaign (PSC), although these were voted out during the debate.

However the motion used hardline rhetoric that failed to stand up to any scrutiny of the facts. The motion made grossly exaggerated links between the Trade Union Congress (ie grown up, real-world unions) and the NUS, forgetting that the roles of the organisations are different in many crucial ways.

The motion failed to take into account the complexities in the conflict, and resolved to campaign against the "siege on Gaza", to link with the Islamic University of Gaza and to send students on future convoys to Gaza. My friendly, liberal union had official policy to send British students to support the Hamas-led regime, the proscribed group in many nations around the world, including the UK.

However, the most chilling part for me and other supporters of a genuine peace in the Middle East was the first resolution, which called for the "right to return for all refugees". Due to the unique definition of a refugee amongst the Palestinians as opposed to anyone else, anywhere else in the world, this was effectively calling for millions of Palestinians, the majority of which were 2nd, 3rd or 4th generation "refugees", who had been born, educated, worked, loved, lived and so on in other countries, or even under the Palestinian Authority, to have free access to Israel. No mention has been made, either in this motion or in any other statement from the far-left groups who proposed it of a similar statement, or reparations for the almost identical number of Jewish refugees who were forced out of various Arab states at the same time.

This motion called for the destruction of Israel as a Jewish state through insidious demography, and therefore supported a one-state solution.

Nevermind that roughly 2/3 of Israelis & 2/3 of Palestinians are pro-2-state. Nevermind that to fail to allow for self-determination of the Jewish people, but allowing for Palestinian self-determination is clearly Antisemitic. Nevermind that the International Community, through UN votes clearly established a 2-state solution. Nevermind that bilateral negotiations between Israelis and Palestinians have come very close to a final status agreement on numerous occasions.

The warped sense of morality of the Far-left allowed them to think that they, and they alone were allowed to dictate policy to Israelis and Palestinians.

Today, the National Executive Committee overturned this policy and instituted a new motion "Dialogue on Israel-Palestine" (http://bit.ly/qjLH0o). This policy starts off by discussing the belief in self-determination that is fundamental to our society and student politics in particular. It reaffirms the understanding that both sides have narratives that are worthy arguments, and both sides have behaved atrociously to one another at times during the previous century. The tone of the motion though, is respectful of British student political tradition - of respect for alternative views, of abiding legality and of a desire to maintain dialogue to improve the outcome.

This motion explicitly states:
"The self-determination of one people cannot be at the expense of another. 'Two viable states, for two peoples negotiated bilaterally is the practical way of expressing both these competing rights, which has the potential to achieve peace in the near future."
It specifically affirms the rights for both Israelis and Palestinians to self-determination. The motion also accepts that, contrary to what some may believe, the NUS are not the major mover in the region, and that their primary duty of care is to the students at British campuses. A racist, divisive policy, that mandated the Union to send students into physical harms way cannot be said to be in the student body's best interests.

The new policy resolves to educate, debate and explore the complexities of the situation whilst remaining respectful of the 2 equally valid perspectives. It does not seek to whitewash crimes by anyone, and asks politicians and universities to make constructive steps towards a genuine, lasting peace.

I'm proud to have this policy represent me at my union. I'm proud of the activists who worked tirelessly to ensure that right won out over wrong. I'm proud of the student body who didn't accept the hijacking of their facilities by vile, extreme minorities who aim to sow as much disharmony on campus as possible; who came together to overthrow, emphatically, the racist, illegal, hypocritical policy that existed previously.

The uni year has only just started, but I'm already proud of what students have achieved.

Sunday 18 September 2011

Matchday 5 Results: Some big surprises and more Impossibilitee firsts!

Where on earth to start with this weekend's football?

Arsenal doing what they do best in wasting great chances and giving up any semblance of defending to lose a lead twice and ultimately the match...

Swansea getting their first goals and their first PL win...

Joey Barton starting on opposing fans again...

Liverpool showing the the Dalglish era (take 2) still has a few creases to iron out...

Man City showing a fallible side...

Man Utd giving AVB's Chelsea a seeing to, with a certain Señor Torres ensuring he will be in the final segment of "Premier League greatest shocks" for the next 20 years, with D-list celebs commenting on just how unbelievable that miss was...

From a game point of view, from last week's very high scores, we had a bit of a lull....

21 people played this week - a new game high! Welcome to all new players!
Most popular predicted result: Man City WIN (95% concordance)
Most disputed result: Spurs vs Liverpool (7:7:7 - a rare three way split!)

Longest Odds: Me! 29,052/1

Best Predictor: Joe Miller (7/10) - 2nd time
Worst Predictor: Will O'Doherty (0/10 - a first!)...high on the egg chasing triumph early on Saturday...

Best Predicted result: Man Utd WIN (18/21)
Worst Predicted result: Blackburn WIN & Fulham vs Man City DRAW (1/21) - Kudos to Joel & Ryan Wain

I scored 4 out of 10 (all on Saturday when I was 4/6....)

Villain of the week: None this week I'm afraid!

Full results below:


There is a new leader at the top of the leaderboard - Joe Miller usurping Feneley, whilst Will O Doherty's miserable effort sees him slip way down the board! Remember, to qualify for the leaderboard, you have to have played >2/3 of weeks, so this week is a minimum of 4/5 weeks.

Finally, I'd just like to thank all of you who invited friends to join....the idea behind this was that loads of people I know place accumulators each week for the football, and this arena allows for mates to see how dismal they are compared to each other...

So if you have any friends who would be into this sort of thing, get them to play along next week!

See you later in the week!

Thursday 15 September 2011

Matchday 5: Time to break out the big guns

My bets for this weekend's round of matches:

Blackburn vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Aston Villa vs Newcastle - DRAW
Everton vs Wigan - EVERTON
Wolves vs QPR - DRAW
Swansea vs WBA - SWANSEA
Bolton vs Norwich - NORWICH
Spurs vs Liverpool - DRAW
Sunderland vs Stoke - STOKE
Fulham vs Man City - MAN CITY
Man Utd vs Chelsea - CHELSEA

Total odds: 29,052/1 (Paddypower) - that's £290.52 if it comes in!!!

As per usual, stick your predictions/bets (with odds if you want) in the comments below, by the 1st game's kick off (12.45 on Saturday)

For any new players, just copy my predictions into a comment and alter to what you think the results will be. If you place a bet, give the odds too, otherwise just the predictions will do!

If everyone who played last week plays, then we should get over 20 this week! Everyone must have at least 1 mate who'd be interested to play this! Finally, if you leave an email address (in a separate comment that I can delete if you don't want it to stay up) then I'll make sure that you automatically get notified of any new blog posts direct to your inbox.

Good luck guys - for me personally, if any week is going to come in for me, then this is the one I'd like!

Wednesday 14 September 2011

Matchday 4 Results: A big weekend for many!

This week saw new heights in both individual and collective fields...the highest number of participants yet and the highest indivudual and mean scores yet...

To business:

17 people played this week (Lawro counts....)
Most popular predicted result: Arsenal & Man City WINS (100% concordance)
Most disputed result: Norwich vs WBA (7:5:5)

Longest Odds: JT 7812/1

Best Predictor: Dan Davis (8/10) - a new record!
Worst Predictor: Ryan Wain (AGAIN!!!) and Lawro (3/10) - insert your own Liverpool-based joke...

Best Predicted result: Arsenal & Man City WINS (10/10)
Worst Predicted result: QPR vs Newcastle DRAW (2/10)

I got 5/10 right, Mr Consistency....

Welcome also to the 6 new players - hope you'll stick around! They all did pretty well, with scores ranging from 5-7.

Villain of the week: Mark Clattenburg for a poor decision which failed to give Liverpool a penalty at Stoke. Assuming conversion, that would have made the score 1-1, and given Dan Davis an astonishing 9/10.

Full results for everyone:


The updated leaderboard sees 2 new entries - a retrospective addition of Lawro and JT, who has parachuted into 2nd place. To qualify for the leaderboard, you have to have played >2/3 of available weeks, which works out as 3/4 so far.

Feneley still leads, but it's still pretty tight! Ryan Wain is doing the honorable thing and preventing me from being bottom of my own game!

That's all for now, I'll be posting my bets for this weekend either Thursday night or Friday. Remember to check back then, and please spread the word further! It'd be great to have even more people involved!

Wednesday 7 September 2011

Results from Matchday 3 and Predictions for Matchday 4!


How I spoil you all.....2 posts in a week!

Let's look at the results from the last matchday first - this was very interesting. It seems that this was a very hard week to call for a lot of matches, with 4 matches having a very discordant spread! This was reflected in the results, with the closest scores so far. Stats in full:

9 people played
Most popular predicted result: Chelsea win (100% concordance)

Most disputed result: Villa vs Wolves, Swansea vs Sunderland, Spurs vs Man City & Man Utd vs Arsenal (All some variant of a 4:3:2 split)
Longest Odds: Josh Daniels - 82,876/1

Best Predictor: Sam Ruback, Will O'Doherty and Josh Daniels (6/10)
Worst Predictor: Ryan Wain (2/10) (2nd time in 3 weeks.....)

Best Predicted result: Chelsea WIN (9/9)
Worst Predicated result: Man City WIN (2/9)

I got 5 right - improving slowly. What's very interesting is that 2 weeks out of 3 so far, the longest odds have done the best... although as betting is win or lose, and they've lost...it's ultimately irrelevant!

Villain of the week this week is the leprechaun who owns Man Utd for not running them into the ground already and thereby not ruining my day.
Everyone's results this week:


From now onwards, I also want to give a little leaderboard of how everyone's doing so far. To qualify, you have to have played >2/3 of rounds so far, so this week, 3/3 weeks:

7 people qualify for the leaderboard this week:


So Feneley is just ahead of Will O'Doherty, with Ryan Wain limping way back, like a scuttled ferry across the Mersey...

To this week's bets:

I've decided to add in a silent partner to the game - BBC stalwart and Gary Lineker sycophant Mark Lawrenson. I'll be adding his predictions to the comments as they go live, so we can at least all try and beat Lawro!

Sunderland vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Wolves vs Spurs - DRAW
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Man City vs Wigan - MAN CITY
Everton vs Villa - VILLA
Stoke vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Bolton vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Norwich vs WBA - NORWICH
Fulham vs Blackburn - DRAW
QPR vs Newcastle - QPR

Odds are 2,327/1 (paddypower)

Best of British and please spread the word - you've all got a mate who'd be interested in playing, so let's try and get over 20 players this week!


Belated thoughts on Arsenal's mauling oop north & Transfers

Scientific studies have shown that holidays can protect your heart by as much as 30%. Never has this been truer than last week. As it happens, I was on my way to a lovely week in the Balkans on Sunday and therefore missed sitting through what I already knew would be a horrible 90 minutes.

I didn't quite predict how horrible.

It was inevitable that we'd lose (even though I predicted a draw....never bet against your own team!) and even more inevitable when Vermaelen & Sagna were ruled out. We took a League cup side to Manchester and the sharks smelled blood.

Didn't watch the game, so purely on the basis of very limited highlights from 101GG, I thought that both pens were stonewall, Man Utd took their chances very well, Jenkinson is nowhere near ready for 1st team football (been saying that since pre season) and interestingly, Szczesny seems to have a weakness diving to his left - his penalty save and his save this week vs Germany were flinging himself to the right, but several of the Utd goals were to his left and it'll be interesting to see how that develops in the future.

I missed Transfer deadline day too - I left thinking we'd sign Cahill last minute and probably no-one else (Park Chu Young deal was before I went) - so was pretty happy to see that we'd signed Mertesacker and Santos (who I know bugger all about) and was really hoping we'd get Arteta and Benayoun when I went out for the night.

Might have mislead the missus the next morning when we went to get breakfast and sneaked off to check if we'd signed them....hopefully, she won't read this!

**UPDATE** Apparently she does read this. She did find it funny however!

As far as I'm concerned, the major surgery that we needed was performed. I think we have a decent GK and solid enough back up in Fabianski. Defensive unit looks more solid, although I still think coaching and mentality needs to be worked on. Midfield is weaker than last year, but Arteta and Benayoun are solid signings who should fit right in (I don't understand the grumblings over Benayoun....I've thought he was class at West Ham and Liverpool - tore us up in the 4-4) and my only real concerns are what happens WHEN RVP gets injured...but I'm willing to give Chu (what's he being called?) the benefit of the doubt.

All in all - a solid squad that won't win the league but can certainly challenge and hopefully hold off Liverpool and Spurs and make Champions League football again this year. Still doesn't change the fact that the business should have been done months ago, but hey ho...

Finally, I woke up this week thinking of a song for Yossi Benayoun. It's not big or clever, but it's catchy....

Basically...."Yossi Benayoun" repeated over and over again to the tune of "Viva John Terry"...

Sing it in the shower and sing it loud and proud on Saturday!

I'll be back in a bit with the predictions results and my new predictions for this weekend!

Friday 26 August 2011

Matchday 2 results & Matchday 3 bets!


Apologies one and all for the lateness of this blog...

I have no internet at home currently, and am going on holiday on Sunday, so next week's blogging will also be a little irregular. However, normal service will be resumed after that...

Let's talk last week's results first:

12 people played
Most popular predicted result: Chelsea win (100% concordance)
Most disputed result: Man Utd Vs Spurs (Home win: 6, Draw: 4, Away win:2)
Longest Odds: Joe Miller - 20,677/1 (2nd week in a row...)

Best Predictor: Feneley (7/10)
Worst Predictor: Hesham Zakai (2/10)

Best Predicted result: Chelsea WIN (12/12)
Worst Predicated result: QPR WIN (0/12)

I got 3 right - slow start to the season....getting my eye in!

No villain of the week this week!

Classified results below:


In future weeks, I'll add trends and average scores too...create a little leaderboard

Ok....now to Week 3!

This week, my bets are as follows:

Villa vs Wolves - WOLVES
Wigan vs QPR - DRAW
Blackburn vs Everton - EVERTON
Chelsea vs Norwich - CHELSEA
Swansea vs Sunderland - SWANSEA
Liverpool vs Bolton - LIVERPOOL
Newcastle vs Fulham - NEWCASTLE
Spurs vs Man City - DRAW
WBA vs Stoke - STOKE
Man Utd vs Arsenal - DRAW (not really, but can never bet against your own team!)

That's odds of 12,505/1 (Paddypower)

As per usual, put your bets/predos in the comments below! I'm not gonna really be able to publicise the blog too much for this round due to the lack of internet, so relying on you guys to RT, post on facebook and even do the old-fashioned thing of telling your friends!

As I said, the results blog will probably be delayed until after I get back....but luckily, there is an international weekend (never though I'd say those words) so there's a bit of extra time anyway!

Good luck guys!

Sunday 14 August 2011

Matchday 2 - Now we're warmed up....

Welcome Back!

Matchday 2 is upon us and now we'll get to see some patterns emerge...Will a new name leap to the top of the tree? Will my old uni mates get their predicting hats on?

Some big games this week - the first Sky 4 (6?) head to heads between Arsenal & Liverpool and Man Utd & Spurs, the NE derby at the Stadium of Light and Swansea & Wigan go head to head in the first ever PL game in Wales for the first relegation 6 pointer of the season!

Hopefully some new faces - although I've left it late this week due to internet issues. Hopefully from next week, I'll be back with the booming PR invading every space of the internet that my social media skills can reach. Of course, if you know people who would be interested....get them involved! Providing they have given their predictions by the 1st game's kick off, then I'll add them to the database for that week.

For any new players:

Full premiership accumulator (10 matches), 1p, bookie of your choice (or if a non-gambler, just leave predictions below).

Choose the winning team or a draw and leave the total odds behind too, so we can see who's statistically the safest and most renegade.

This week, my bets are:

Arsenal vs Liverpool - DRAW
Villa vs Blackburn - VILLA
Bolton vs Man City - CITY
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs QPR - EVERTON
Man Utd vs Spurs - DRAW
Norwich vs Stoke - STOKE
Sunderland vs Newcastle - SUNDERLAND
Swansea vs Wigan - SWANSEA
Wolves vs Fulham - DRAW

Total odds: 3055/1 (paddypower)

Get the predictions in and spread the word!

Saturday 13 August 2011

Week 1 - Results/Stats Post

So this is where I get my geek on! Each week, I'll try to put together a few patterns that emerge in the predictions and create some comparisons for bragging rights!

This week:
9 people played
Most popular predicted result: Man City win (100% concordance)
Most disputed result: Fulham Vs Villa (Home win: 3, Draw: 4, Away win:2)
Longest Odds: Joe Miller - 63,500/1

Best Predictor: Naph/Will O'Doherty/Joe Miller (5/9)
Worst Predictor: Ryan Wain (don't worry about the fact you didn't put the bet on then....) (2/9)

Best Predicted result: Man City WIN (9/9)
Worst Predicated result: Liverpool vs Sunderland DRAW (0/9)

I got 4 right, which is not a great start....Liverpool, Arsenal and Chelsea....who'd have thought it...


Here are Week 1's results in full (just imagine me reading them like James Alexander Gordon doing the classified football results...):




Villain of the Week: This is the section held for individuals that ruin the betting slip. For example, the ref who disallows a perfectly good goal which changes the result. Individuals only qualify for villain status if they take away any genuine chance of winning the bet - so if you only get 3 matches correct anyway, then it's irrelevant what happened - so I'm imposing a strict 7+ correct predictions on someone's choices for their "villain" to qualify.

This week, no-one technically qualifies, but as it's my blog, my rules, I'm saying Joey Barton is for his disgraceful antics. Honourable mention goes to John Terry, for being John Terry.

Thanks for playing - spread the word and looking forward to having you all back next week! I'll be posting my bets on Thursday, so anytime after that, get involved! Spread the word - let's hope for better luck next week!

Wednesday 10 August 2011

It's here - LIVE, after the break!


Ok, so in hindsight, starting a blog with a primary focus on football in the immediate period after the season finished wasn't the optimum timing...

However, hang all that now - the summer has been and gone, all 3 days of it. We've sat through hundreds of hours of reporters from SSN "understanding" knowledge of deals that are agreed, read thousands of words from "journalists" regurgitating rubbish off blogs and if you've been a Liverpool fan, enjoyed the feeling of a new signing or 5.

For us in the Red half of North London, it's been a particularly stressful break - we have signed 3 young lads to be firmly put in the box marked "Carling Cup/Future" and (an admittedly decent looking) Gervinho. However, the 2 soap operas of Cesc (perennial) and Nasri (hardly surprising) have been the main focus, much of it negative. The failure to bolster the traditional problem area of CB has meant that the tension that has enveloped much of the Emirates over the last few seasons hasn't dissipated with the optimism of a new season, as shown by the boos at a pre-season friendly...

Anyway, the point is, that all of this anticipation is about to be put to rest. In approximately 74 hours time, 3 referees in London and 3 referees in the Northwest will put their shiny new whistles to their lips and start the 2011/2012 Premier League season, and with it, kick off the new Impossibilitee game.

The rules are fairly simple: 1p accumulator bet for all the PL matches (Win/Draw/Lose) that weekend - and we try to see if anyone is any good at these things... (If people need greater insight into the rules, then more info here http://impossibilitee.blogspot.com/2011/05/rules-of-game.html)

My bets (with PaddyPower if anyone cares) are as follows:

Blackburn vs Wolves - DRAW
Fulham vs Villa - FULHAM
Liverpool vs Sunderland - LIVERPOOL
QPR vs Bolton - BOLTON
Spurs vs Everton - DRAW (*Update: Postponed)
Wigan vs Norwich - DRAW
Newcastle vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Stoke vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Man City vs Swansea -MAN CITY

1p will net £24.34 should that come in - not a princely sum, but a nice little earner!

So basically, get involved! Use comments below to add your bets, and hopefully (if I can work out the techy bit) then in a few weeks, I'll create some kind of table/graph so we can see who the top and bottom predictors/gamblers are...

Please feel free to repost/RT as necessary - let have as many people involved as possible...

Looking forward to it....best of British to everyone!

**UPDATE**
If you have trouble posting in the comments, then post as anonymous and put your name in the post. I've got my best techy people working on it....but as that's me, it might take a while to sort out!

Follow me @ccdaniels65 on Twitter for more...

Saturday 9 July 2011

My letter to my MP on Richard Falk's position as UNHRC Special Rapporteur for Israel & the Palestinian Territories

Dear MP,

I would like you to investigate with your colleagues in the FCO what they intend to do over the untenable nature of the position of Richard Falk as Special Rapporteur to the UNHRC for Israel & the "Disputed" Palestinian Territories.


As I'm sure that you are aware, the UNHRC was set up in 2006 to replace the UNCHR which was widely agreed to not be fit for purpose. However, it is pretty clear that the new body is making the same mistakes in admitting countries undertaking horrendous human rights abuses to positions of power, and refusing to take a strong stand against other long-standing human rights issues for political reasons. These same political reasons have ensured that of all the countries in the world, Israel is the only one to have a permanent review at every single plenary meeting, as opposed to the approximately 4 year cycle that all other countries are on. No other nation - not Libya, Syria, China, Burma, Sri Lanka or Sudan have been singled out in this way, regardless of the fact that by any objective or even, subjective measure, their crimes are significantly greater than those of Israel towards the Palestinians (although I do not mean to paint the picture that all is rosy with Israel, merely that the degree of scrutiny is disproportionate in the grand scheme of things).


The position of Special Rapporteur was created to provide these regular reports to the Council and this mandate was highly controversial at the time. John Dugard had performed a similar role in the predecessor body, and in 2008, Richard Falk was elected on a 6 year mandate. He had previously held a similar position and produced a report into the level of resistance permitted to the Palestinians, determining that suicide bombers were acceptable, and referring to the Israeli government's actions as "state sponsored terrorism"and has previously claimed that Israel are performing "genocide" on the Palestinians and labelled the situation "apartheid". For a Professor of International Law not to understand what those two words mean is atrocious and begs the question on whether he is seeking the truth or publicity for a cause. Falk was on record as stating that it was not " an irresponsible overstatement to associate the treatment of Palestinians with the criminalised Nazi record of collective atrocity" and these comments gave grave concerns to his independence, impartiality and objectiveness - crucial attributes to carry out valid work. The British government have, in 2009, previously commented that Falk's work is "unbalanced and contributes little". It is important to state that Falk has been denied access to the Palestinian territories since he started working, and therefore has produced all his work from afar. A similar approach was taken by Judge Goldstone in his report into the 2008-2009 war in Gaza, and who has recently acknowledged that he got it very wrong. Whilst I do not condone the Israeli government's stance in isolating themselves by not cooperating with the International community, it is reasonable to understand why, in their view, the body is biased against them, and the notion of a "fair trial" does not exist for them at the UNHRC.


All these reasons however, explain Israel's antipathy towards Falk, who has a flexible (at best) view of his own Jewish heritage. However, whilst they reduce the credibility of his position, it is arguable that they do not constitute a reason for him to be removed as he is technically within the bounds of his extremely poorly worded, polemical mandate. However, last week, on his personal blog (http://richardfalk.wordpress.com/) , he posted a cartoon (http://hurryupharry.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/falktoday.jpg - the only link with a large picture I could find) which is riddled with Antisemitic imagery. The message is a simple one: the USA's blatant disregard for justice whilst feasting on the deaths of Arabs. Standard fare in much of the Arabic world, but in this instance, the dog is wearing a skullcap with the Star of David on it. Note, there is no Israeli flag, or even Israeli colours. This is a "Jewish dog", without question. A Jewish dog, "pissing" on Justice whilst devouring dead Arabs. This is blatantly Antisemitic, and there is no other way to read it.


When the NGO, UN Watch (who I am not affiliated to) pointed out this cartoon, Falk's response was as follows:

"It is a complete lie. I know nothing about such a cartoon and would never publish such a thing, ever."
He then removed the cartoon from his blog, and has issued the following statements:
"Maybe I do not understand the cartoon, and if it offends in this way I have removed it from the blog. It may be in bad taste to an extent I had not earlier appreciated, but I certainly didn’t realize that it could be viewed as anti-semitic, and still do not realize."

Upon examing the cartoon, he still can't ascertain why it may be Antisemitic?

My intention has never been to demean in any way Jews as a people despite my strong criticisms of Israeli policies, and some versions of Zionist support. My interest and commitment has always been directed at finding a just and sustainable peace for both peoples, although I believe that this must be based on a belated recognition of Palestinian rights, and not on power relationships."With apologies, I realize that the cartoon that originally appeared on my blog devoted to the arrest warrants for Qaddafi and two others issued by the ICC had strongly anti-semitic symbolism that I had not detected before it was pointed out to me. I posted the cartoon to express my view that double standards pertained to the American and ICC approach to international criminal accountability. As soon as I was made aware of the anti-semitic content of the cartoon I removed it from my blog, although initially I denied such a posting because (This line ruins any hopes of impartiality for his UNHRC work - why not both people's rights?)

To be clear, I oppose any denigration of a people based on ethnicity, race, religion, stage of development, and believe in the human dignity of all people in their individual and collective identity. Beyond this, if we are to have a sustainable human future we must also make peace with nature, and treat animals with as much respect as possible. This is both a sacred imperative of my idea of a spiritual life, but also an integral aspect of species survival on an increasingly crowded, overheated, and endangered planet.Returning to the cartoon, I regret my carelessness, and apologize for any unintended hurt and outrage caused thereby. At the same time, I am quite aware that many of the messages were motivated to discredit me due to my views of Israeli policies and behavior."


and finally, an excuse on age, and trying to shift the blame to Google:


"Even now I needed a magnifying glass to identify the anti-semitic character of the dog. My vision (at 80) is pretty good, but not good enough. It looked like a helmet to me, and the main visible symbol on the dog was the USA midriff covering. I found the cartoon through a Google image search on the page devoted to the International Criminal Court. Almost all the images there were about the Court or justice, and I assumed that this blindfolded goddess of justice was being led around by the USA. I am quite sure this cartoon would never have been allowed on the Google page if its true content had been realized, and it should be removed.Without a special effort, which admittedly I did not make, this true content is easy to overlook, and even when the initial objection to the cartoon was brought to my attention, and I looked at it, I did not appreciate the objectionable character of what was intended to be communicated."


Professor Falk is clearly a highly intelligent man. There is a chance that he published the cartoon without fully looking at it, although it questions his thoroughness in all aspects of life, including his academia and his UNHRC reports. However, there is no conceivable way that once the cartoon is subject to even the most cursory of examination, it is possible to "not appreciate the [Antisemitic] character" of the cartoon. His apologies are insincere and a case of shutting the door after the horse has bolted.


With his history, and now his present, there can be no way in which the UNHRC can be confident in his abilities to perform his role as Special Rappoteur. He should be removed from his post, and there should be a genuinely impartial investigation into whether such a role is needed, ahead of other conflict zones around the world. It is important to mention that the last 2 reports produced by the UN into Israeli actions have either been disowned by the author (Goldstone) or found Israel to have acted within International law (the Flotilla report). The UK have the opportunity to press for these results and try and restore some credit to the noble vision of a UN Human Rights body as dreamed up by Rene Cassin, Eleanor Roosevelt et al nearly 65 years ago.


I await your response, Sir.


Yours faithfully