some of the most mind-boggling results ever in the PL. Sunderland actually winning a game.....bloody hell!
Not wanting to dwell too much on Chelsea or the game at Old Trafford...suffice it to say that some poor team is going to be very upset to be playing Man Utd in the near future, and that I'm glad I backed City for the league in August.
No gloating over Utd fans from me (8-2....can't really go there) but my mouth was agape when I saw the scores come in.
This week was really interesting from a game perspective. Most people who posted had fairly short odds. I reckon that on an average week, the odds for a 10 match accumulator are around 3000/1 (£30 for 1p stake if maths make your eyes go funny).
This week, I was seeing odds of between 30-50% of this on average....and normally, when that happens, it's a reasonably high scoring week. Stands to reason....people are more confident as the games are easier to pick a result in, the bookies agree and so the odds are shorter.
We saw that this week....8/10 matches had more than 70% agreeing on the result, meaning that most of us thought roughly the same way about how the matches were going to play out this weekend.
To put it another way, there are (evil) multiple choice exams where you choose your answer (A-E) and then choose how confident of your answer you are (1-5). If you choose 3 - average confidence - then you score 1 mark if you get it right, but 0 if you get it wrong. If you choose 5 - very confident - then you get 3 marks if you get it right, but LOSE 3 marks if you get it wrong. If you aren't sure at all (ie are just guessing), then you can only score a maximum of 0.5 marks if you get it right.
This week, we were all very confident that we'd all do quite well. We'd all have done very poorly, scoring negative marks all over the place!
Enough waffle, stats time!
This week, 15 people played.
Most popular predicted result: Chelsea WIN (15/15 - 100% concordance)
Most disputed result: Fulham vs Everton ( 3-6-6 split)
Longest odds: Will O'Doherty 8068/1
Best predictor: Me!!!! First time ever! - 5/10
Worst predictors: Dan Davis & Dan Grabiner - 2/10
Best predicted result: Arsenal WIN (14/15)
Worst predicted results: QPR & WBA WINS (0/15)
Interestingly, there were 3 games were only 1 player was right (Wolves/Swansea - Sam Ruback, Liverpool/Norwich - Will O'Doherty and Man Utd/Man City - Me) and only 3 games where we were "all" right - Newcastle, Arsenal & Spurs wins. (13, 14 & 11/15 respectively).
No villain of the week - we were all too poor for any single event to affect us.
Full breakdown below:
And now for the leaderboard. As per usual, you only qualify if you have played >2/3 weeks, so thats 7/9 this week. No change right at the top, but I've jumped into 2nd place, which is a season high for me. Nothing too exciting in midtable, although Dan Davis has a mini-collapse in dropping 3 places. Ryan Wain is still planted to the bottom, although by missing this week, he actually didn't do too badly. As we all did poorly, the gap between him and the rest has shrunk, although it's still a fair one. Next week, we should have a new addition to the board...something to look forward to!
Right, I think that's quite enough. Enjoy your weeks, and I'll be back here later in the week with the weekend's fixtures.
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