S11M38: Early Finish

I wrote last week that we could be all done.

We of course aren't. I mean, we sort of are - it's highly improbable that City won't win the league, Spurs take 4th and Leeds go down....but stranger things etc

Pressure does funny things though. Mahrez loves a big penalty choke. Arsenal ran out of puff - ironically, so have Chelsea. Lots of limping to the beaches of the world incoming. And as for the relegation battle - I mean Everton really did their best to still be in the mix to go down too

On that note, we saw Billy Sharp headbutted and Patrick Vieira accosted by drunken fans unable to control their elation and who did, and could, have caused harm to staff. In the bin with them and frankly 24 weeks in prison and a 2 year banning order from football (unenforceable in reality) is just not a firm enough deterrent for behaviour like this.

No issues with emotion. Just don't be a ****.

Let's get statty:

This week, 15 people played
Most popular predicted result: Man City WIN (15/15)
Most disputed prediction: Leeds vs Brighton (4-3-8 split)

Highest/Lowest odds: Josh Daniels (131/1)

Best predictor: Natan Kleiman (6.67/10)
Worst predictor: Lawro (2.22.10)
Average score: 3.85/10

Best predicted result: Liverpool WIN (14/15)
Worst predicted result: West Ham/Man City DRAW (0/15)

Everyone's scores:

To the leaderboard (>2/3; 25/36)

I believe, that we have a champion. David Brickman has it wrapped up with a matchweek to spare - unusually but I don't think uniquely...although I'm not going back to check. If he scores a 0, and EuroClubIndex score a 10, by my maths, David still wins by 0.02

So in doing so, he becomes the first human to win a second title, and continues the alternating years with EuroClubIndex to a 4th season! ECI seem to win in alternating years - so early quid on them to take next year's crown!

To this week's predos for the final time!



Good luck guys!

S11M37: Will it go to the wire?

 2 full matchdays left. Couple of extra catch up games. And then that's it. Season done. And the chances are, that the powers that be (let's be clear, Sky Sports, the Premier League) will get their final day showdown.

At the top - Liverpool don't play until Wednesday as they're in the FA Cup final. So if Man City win, they'll have a 6 point gap. Liverpool could then only win the title on goal difference, needing to effect a minimum of an 8 goal swing across their fixtures away at Southampton and home to Wolves, whilst Man City face Villa at home on the last day. Unlikely I suppose....but a big win midweek maybe puts that at a 4 goal ask, which is plausible.

Chelsea can guarantee 3rd place with a win. The wobble seems to have wibbled.

The final CL spot will go to North London. 1 point. 2 games. Arsenal are marginally favourites according to the prediction models, but neck and neck with the bookies who smell the momentum shift after last night. They both play against a team scrapping for survival, and a team who's fate is already known. So...will there be another momentum change after this weekend?

Man Utd aren't safe in the EL yet. West Ham could take their place and relegate ten Hag to the ECL for his first season - Wolves also have eyes on sneaking that spot if West Ham fall away.

I'll gloss over everything down to Everton now. With Norwich and Watford down, there's one relegation spot. Leeds currently sit in 18th and can get a maximum of 40 points. Everton have 3 games to play and are on 36 points. A win at home to Brentford, combined with Leeds failing to beat Brighton sees them safe. And so then it's Burnley or Leeds for the final spot - level on points but Burnley having an extra game to play.

So this set of matches could see everything settled, or nothing settled - but I guess most likely, something in between.

Let's get statty:
This week, 16 people played
Most popular predicted results: Arsenal & Man City WINS (16/16)
Most disputed result: Leicester vs  Everton (6-5-5 split)

Highest odds: Josh Daniels (733/1)
Lowest odds: Steven Daniels (569/1)
Average odds: 630/1

Best predictors: Feneley & Me, reunited in victory after 9 years (7/10)
Worst predictor: Loads of you (4/10)
Average score: 5.13/10

Best predicted result: Arsenal & Man City WINS (16/16)
Worst predicted results: Chelsea vs Wolves & Liverpool vs Spurs DRAWS (1/16 - Feneley the former, me the latter) 

Everyone's results:

The penultimate leaderboard (>2/3 matchdays; 23/34)

DB	5.73
ECI	5.36
SD	5.33
JA	5.33
JD	5.28
Lawro	5.23
RD	5.10
AFM	5.05
WSC	5.04
NJSPTC	5.04
AK	4.90
AF	4.84
ZD	4.67
DSIL	4.55
NK	4.53
RK	4.52

This week's predos:


Good luck everyone!

S11M35: Inflection Point

 Well well well.

It's into the merry month of May and all the races are still in play

Title: Man City favourites but literally no room for error
Top 4: Chelsea sliding backwards to possibly make it 2 from 3 - Man Utd just clinging on mathematically but for Spurs & Arsenal, the margin is the same as at the top, with the additional complication of a 6-pointer on Thursday

Relegation: Everton, Leeds & Burnley all hitting some sort of form in recent weeks to try and avoid that last place. I know Watford aren't official...but they're done

So yeah - another big weekend...any slips now could be fatal!

Let's get statty:

This week, 13 people played
Most popular predicted result: Man City WIN (13/13)
Most disputed prediction: Southampton vs Crystal Palace (8-3-2 split)

Highest odds/Lowest odds: Steven Daniels (421/1)

Best predictor: 4 of yous (7/10)
Worst predictor: Zoe Daniels (4/10)
Average score: 6/10

Best predicted result: Man City WIN (13/13)
Worst predicted results: Brighton & Everton WINS (1/13 - well done David Silverman & Nick Taylor-Collins respectively)

Everyone's scores:

Leaderboard (>2/3; 24/34)

This week's predos:


Good luck all