Wednesday 28 September 2011

Matchday 6 Results: A weekend of Two Halves & Matchday 7 bets!


You know when you feel that some things are too good to be true? That's roughly how I felt at about 4.50 last Saturday, when I was 7/7. Things quickly went downhill from there....

Not wanting to exhaust my cliche quota for the season on one weekend, I'd just like to mention that, part of the beauty of sport is the theme of redemption - think Stuart Pearce's eye-bulging, neck-streching, fist-pumping reaction to laying his penalty demons to rest in Euro '96. It's this Boys' Own Hero to Zero feeling that gives football part of its magic. This week, one man surmised redemption....more below

The full breakdown:

15 played this week
Most popular predicted result: Liverpool & Chelsea WINS (100% concordance)
Most disputed result: Norwich vs Sunderland (3-6-6 split)

Longest odds: Josh Benson 1725.58/1
Best Predicted result: Liverpool & Chelsea WINS (15/15)
Worst Predicted result:Stoke vs Man Utd DRAW (2/15)


I scored 7/10 - so basically completely failed on the televised games....

I'd like to single out the heart warming story of redemption I told above by mentioning Will O'Doherty....who turned in a stellar performance this week, putting his horror show 0 from last week behind him and top scoring (joing with Lawro) with 8! It's the stories like that that make this blog worth running!

Villain of the week: Ryan Giggs for that horrendous miss in the last minute at Stoke. If it had been a page 3 girl, I'm sure he would have scored it. (Am I allowed to
mention his name yet?....should it read Yran Igggs?)

Full breakdown below:


The leaderboard this week sees a lot of movement, but it's all in midtable. The range is very close however, so one big week could see a new leader from just about anyone. Remember, only those who have played >2/3 of weeks are eligible for the leaderboard, so that 5/6 weeks this week, but 5/7 next - so a few more people will be added!


I'm not going to be able to push the blog so much over the next few days, so I'm sticking my bets up now and will add in Lawro retrospectively. It's Derby day in North London and Liverpool, and Norwich have their trip to Old Trafford to look forward to, bring their cameras and try not to get too embarassed.

Everton vs Liverpool - DRAW
Blackburn vs Man City - MAN CITY
Man Utd vs Norwich - MAN UTD
Aston Villa vs Wigan - ASTON VILLA
Wolves vs Newcastle - NEWCASTLE
Sunderland vs WBA - SUNDERLAND
Bolton vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Fulham vs QPR - DRAW
Swansea vs Stoke - STOKE
Tottenham vs Arsenal - ARSENAL

Total odds: 3064/1 (Paddypower)

As per usual, put your bets/predictions in the comments. Feel free to invite any mates! Normal service will be resumed from next week!

Thursday 22 September 2011

Matchday 6: Low Odds this weekend!

As I've already posted one blog tonight, and so have exhausted my words, I'm gonna make it short:

Man City vs Everton - MAN CITY
Wigan vs Spurs - SPURS
Arsenal vs Bolton - ARSENAL
Newcastle vs Blackburn - NEWCASTLE
WBA vs Fulham - DRAW
Liverpool vs Wolves - LIVERPOOL
Chelsea vs Swansea - CHELSEA
Stoke vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
QPR vs Aston Villa - QPR
Norwich vs Sunderland - DRAW

Odds: a pitiful 435/1 (Paddypower).....not sure why I'm even bothering this week....hardly gonna get rich now!

That said....I supposed this is a real chance for someone to step up and nail all 10 matches...

So over to you guys! Predictions in the comments as per usual, spread the word....Good Luck!

I'm Proud...

Today, the National Union of Students (NUS) reversed their 4 month old policy on Israel/Palestine. The old motion "Freedom for Palestine" (http://bit.ly/lFWkP3), which had been passed with numerous suspected procedural flaws had initially called for a boycott of all Israeli goods/institutions and for the NUS to affiliate to the Palestine Solidarity Campaign (PSC), although these were voted out during the debate.

However the motion used hardline rhetoric that failed to stand up to any scrutiny of the facts. The motion made grossly exaggerated links between the Trade Union Congress (ie grown up, real-world unions) and the NUS, forgetting that the roles of the organisations are different in many crucial ways.

The motion failed to take into account the complexities in the conflict, and resolved to campaign against the "siege on Gaza", to link with the Islamic University of Gaza and to send students on future convoys to Gaza. My friendly, liberal union had official policy to send British students to support the Hamas-led regime, the proscribed group in many nations around the world, including the UK.

However, the most chilling part for me and other supporters of a genuine peace in the Middle East was the first resolution, which called for the "right to return for all refugees". Due to the unique definition of a refugee amongst the Palestinians as opposed to anyone else, anywhere else in the world, this was effectively calling for millions of Palestinians, the majority of which were 2nd, 3rd or 4th generation "refugees", who had been born, educated, worked, loved, lived and so on in other countries, or even under the Palestinian Authority, to have free access to Israel. No mention has been made, either in this motion or in any other statement from the far-left groups who proposed it of a similar statement, or reparations for the almost identical number of Jewish refugees who were forced out of various Arab states at the same time.

This motion called for the destruction of Israel as a Jewish state through insidious demography, and therefore supported a one-state solution.

Nevermind that roughly 2/3 of Israelis & 2/3 of Palestinians are pro-2-state. Nevermind that to fail to allow for self-determination of the Jewish people, but allowing for Palestinian self-determination is clearly Antisemitic. Nevermind that the International Community, through UN votes clearly established a 2-state solution. Nevermind that bilateral negotiations between Israelis and Palestinians have come very close to a final status agreement on numerous occasions.

The warped sense of morality of the Far-left allowed them to think that they, and they alone were allowed to dictate policy to Israelis and Palestinians.

Today, the National Executive Committee overturned this policy and instituted a new motion "Dialogue on Israel-Palestine" (http://bit.ly/qjLH0o). This policy starts off by discussing the belief in self-determination that is fundamental to our society and student politics in particular. It reaffirms the understanding that both sides have narratives that are worthy arguments, and both sides have behaved atrociously to one another at times during the previous century. The tone of the motion though, is respectful of British student political tradition - of respect for alternative views, of abiding legality and of a desire to maintain dialogue to improve the outcome.

This motion explicitly states:
"The self-determination of one people cannot be at the expense of another. 'Two viable states, for two peoples negotiated bilaterally is the practical way of expressing both these competing rights, which has the potential to achieve peace in the near future."
It specifically affirms the rights for both Israelis and Palestinians to self-determination. The motion also accepts that, contrary to what some may believe, the NUS are not the major mover in the region, and that their primary duty of care is to the students at British campuses. A racist, divisive policy, that mandated the Union to send students into physical harms way cannot be said to be in the student body's best interests.

The new policy resolves to educate, debate and explore the complexities of the situation whilst remaining respectful of the 2 equally valid perspectives. It does not seek to whitewash crimes by anyone, and asks politicians and universities to make constructive steps towards a genuine, lasting peace.

I'm proud to have this policy represent me at my union. I'm proud of the activists who worked tirelessly to ensure that right won out over wrong. I'm proud of the student body who didn't accept the hijacking of their facilities by vile, extreme minorities who aim to sow as much disharmony on campus as possible; who came together to overthrow, emphatically, the racist, illegal, hypocritical policy that existed previously.

The uni year has only just started, but I'm already proud of what students have achieved.

Sunday 18 September 2011

Matchday 5 Results: Some big surprises and more Impossibilitee firsts!

Where on earth to start with this weekend's football?

Arsenal doing what they do best in wasting great chances and giving up any semblance of defending to lose a lead twice and ultimately the match...

Swansea getting their first goals and their first PL win...

Joey Barton starting on opposing fans again...

Liverpool showing the the Dalglish era (take 2) still has a few creases to iron out...

Man City showing a fallible side...

Man Utd giving AVB's Chelsea a seeing to, with a certain SeƱor Torres ensuring he will be in the final segment of "Premier League greatest shocks" for the next 20 years, with D-list celebs commenting on just how unbelievable that miss was...

From a game point of view, from last week's very high scores, we had a bit of a lull....

21 people played this week - a new game high! Welcome to all new players!
Most popular predicted result: Man City WIN (95% concordance)
Most disputed result: Spurs vs Liverpool (7:7:7 - a rare three way split!)

Longest Odds: Me! 29,052/1

Best Predictor: Joe Miller (7/10) - 2nd time
Worst Predictor: Will O'Doherty (0/10 - a first!)...high on the egg chasing triumph early on Saturday...

Best Predicted result: Man Utd WIN (18/21)
Worst Predicted result: Blackburn WIN & Fulham vs Man City DRAW (1/21) - Kudos to Joel & Ryan Wain

I scored 4 out of 10 (all on Saturday when I was 4/6....)

Villain of the week: None this week I'm afraid!

Full results below:


There is a new leader at the top of the leaderboard - Joe Miller usurping Feneley, whilst Will O Doherty's miserable effort sees him slip way down the board! Remember, to qualify for the leaderboard, you have to have played >2/3 of weeks, so this week is a minimum of 4/5 weeks.

Finally, I'd just like to thank all of you who invited friends to join....the idea behind this was that loads of people I know place accumulators each week for the football, and this arena allows for mates to see how dismal they are compared to each other...

So if you have any friends who would be into this sort of thing, get them to play along next week!

See you later in the week!

Thursday 15 September 2011

Matchday 5: Time to break out the big guns

My bets for this weekend's round of matches:

Blackburn vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Aston Villa vs Newcastle - DRAW
Everton vs Wigan - EVERTON
Wolves vs QPR - DRAW
Swansea vs WBA - SWANSEA
Bolton vs Norwich - NORWICH
Spurs vs Liverpool - DRAW
Sunderland vs Stoke - STOKE
Fulham vs Man City - MAN CITY
Man Utd vs Chelsea - CHELSEA

Total odds: 29,052/1 (Paddypower) - that's £290.52 if it comes in!!!

As per usual, stick your predictions/bets (with odds if you want) in the comments below, by the 1st game's kick off (12.45 on Saturday)

For any new players, just copy my predictions into a comment and alter to what you think the results will be. If you place a bet, give the odds too, otherwise just the predictions will do!

If everyone who played last week plays, then we should get over 20 this week! Everyone must have at least 1 mate who'd be interested to play this! Finally, if you leave an email address (in a separate comment that I can delete if you don't want it to stay up) then I'll make sure that you automatically get notified of any new blog posts direct to your inbox.

Good luck guys - for me personally, if any week is going to come in for me, then this is the one I'd like!

Wednesday 14 September 2011

Matchday 4 Results: A big weekend for many!

This week saw new heights in both individual and collective fields...the highest number of participants yet and the highest indivudual and mean scores yet...

To business:

17 people played this week (Lawro counts....)
Most popular predicted result: Arsenal & Man City WINS (100% concordance)
Most disputed result: Norwich vs WBA (7:5:5)

Longest Odds: JT 7812/1

Best Predictor: Dan Davis (8/10) - a new record!
Worst Predictor: Ryan Wain (AGAIN!!!) and Lawro (3/10) - insert your own Liverpool-based joke...

Best Predicted result: Arsenal & Man City WINS (10/10)
Worst Predicted result: QPR vs Newcastle DRAW (2/10)

I got 5/10 right, Mr Consistency....

Welcome also to the 6 new players - hope you'll stick around! They all did pretty well, with scores ranging from 5-7.

Villain of the week: Mark Clattenburg for a poor decision which failed to give Liverpool a penalty at Stoke. Assuming conversion, that would have made the score 1-1, and given Dan Davis an astonishing 9/10.

Full results for everyone:


The updated leaderboard sees 2 new entries - a retrospective addition of Lawro and JT, who has parachuted into 2nd place. To qualify for the leaderboard, you have to have played >2/3 of available weeks, which works out as 3/4 so far.

Feneley still leads, but it's still pretty tight! Ryan Wain is doing the honorable thing and preventing me from being bottom of my own game!

That's all for now, I'll be posting my bets for this weekend either Thursday night or Friday. Remember to check back then, and please spread the word further! It'd be great to have even more people involved!

Wednesday 7 September 2011

Results from Matchday 3 and Predictions for Matchday 4!


How I spoil you all.....2 posts in a week!

Let's look at the results from the last matchday first - this was very interesting. It seems that this was a very hard week to call for a lot of matches, with 4 matches having a very discordant spread! This was reflected in the results, with the closest scores so far. Stats in full:

9 people played
Most popular predicted result: Chelsea win (100% concordance)

Most disputed result: Villa vs Wolves, Swansea vs Sunderland, Spurs vs Man City & Man Utd vs Arsenal (All some variant of a 4:3:2 split)
Longest Odds: Josh Daniels - 82,876/1

Best Predictor: Sam Ruback, Will O'Doherty and Josh Daniels (6/10)
Worst Predictor: Ryan Wain (2/10) (2nd time in 3 weeks.....)

Best Predicted result: Chelsea WIN (9/9)
Worst Predicated result: Man City WIN (2/9)

I got 5 right - improving slowly. What's very interesting is that 2 weeks out of 3 so far, the longest odds have done the best... although as betting is win or lose, and they've lost...it's ultimately irrelevant!

Villain of the week this week is the leprechaun who owns Man Utd for not running them into the ground already and thereby not ruining my day.
Everyone's results this week:


From now onwards, I also want to give a little leaderboard of how everyone's doing so far. To qualify, you have to have played >2/3 of rounds so far, so this week, 3/3 weeks:

7 people qualify for the leaderboard this week:


So Feneley is just ahead of Will O'Doherty, with Ryan Wain limping way back, like a scuttled ferry across the Mersey...

To this week's bets:

I've decided to add in a silent partner to the game - BBC stalwart and Gary Lineker sycophant Mark Lawrenson. I'll be adding his predictions to the comments as they go live, so we can at least all try and beat Lawro!

Sunderland vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Wolves vs Spurs - DRAW
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Man City vs Wigan - MAN CITY
Everton vs Villa - VILLA
Stoke vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Bolton vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Norwich vs WBA - NORWICH
Fulham vs Blackburn - DRAW
QPR vs Newcastle - QPR

Odds are 2,327/1 (paddypower)

Best of British and please spread the word - you've all got a mate who'd be interested in playing, so let's try and get over 20 players this week!


Belated thoughts on Arsenal's mauling oop north & Transfers

Scientific studies have shown that holidays can protect your heart by as much as 30%. Never has this been truer than last week. As it happens, I was on my way to a lovely week in the Balkans on Sunday and therefore missed sitting through what I already knew would be a horrible 90 minutes.

I didn't quite predict how horrible.

It was inevitable that we'd lose (even though I predicted a draw....never bet against your own team!) and even more inevitable when Vermaelen & Sagna were ruled out. We took a League cup side to Manchester and the sharks smelled blood.

Didn't watch the game, so purely on the basis of very limited highlights from 101GG, I thought that both pens were stonewall, Man Utd took their chances very well, Jenkinson is nowhere near ready for 1st team football (been saying that since pre season) and interestingly, Szczesny seems to have a weakness diving to his left - his penalty save and his save this week vs Germany were flinging himself to the right, but several of the Utd goals were to his left and it'll be interesting to see how that develops in the future.

I missed Transfer deadline day too - I left thinking we'd sign Cahill last minute and probably no-one else (Park Chu Young deal was before I went) - so was pretty happy to see that we'd signed Mertesacker and Santos (who I know bugger all about) and was really hoping we'd get Arteta and Benayoun when I went out for the night.

Might have mislead the missus the next morning when we went to get breakfast and sneaked off to check if we'd signed them....hopefully, she won't read this!

**UPDATE** Apparently she does read this. She did find it funny however!

As far as I'm concerned, the major surgery that we needed was performed. I think we have a decent GK and solid enough back up in Fabianski. Defensive unit looks more solid, although I still think coaching and mentality needs to be worked on. Midfield is weaker than last year, but Arteta and Benayoun are solid signings who should fit right in (I don't understand the grumblings over Benayoun....I've thought he was class at West Ham and Liverpool - tore us up in the 4-4) and my only real concerns are what happens WHEN RVP gets injured...but I'm willing to give Chu (what's he being called?) the benefit of the doubt.

All in all - a solid squad that won't win the league but can certainly challenge and hopefully hold off Liverpool and Spurs and make Champions League football again this year. Still doesn't change the fact that the business should have been done months ago, but hey ho...

Finally, I woke up this week thinking of a song for Yossi Benayoun. It's not big or clever, but it's catchy....

Basically...."Yossi Benayoun" repeated over and over again to the tune of "Viva John Terry"...

Sing it in the shower and sing it loud and proud on Saturday!

I'll be back in a bit with the predictions results and my new predictions for this weekend!