Monday 29 January 2018

S7M25: Delayed Gratification

It's the little things in life that keep it smiling. First you get Man City losing to Liverpool - that glow has yet to abate. But then Liverpool lose to Swansea, which just serves to make the whole exercise funnier.

Spurs drew with Southampton which meant that the Great Arsenal Comeback started with an Alexis-less win  over Crystal Palace. Nacho Monreal scored all 4 goals, cured cancer & sorted out world peace before being subbed halfway through the first half to go and play the harp at an old age home. True story. Only time will tell as to whether this will be a fruitful chase or not.

Speaking of drugs cheat Alexis, Man Utd showed why they're paying him the GDP of Polynesia a week as they laboured to a win over Burnley. Martial scoring his 2nd delightful goal in as many games.

Easy wins for Man City, Chelsea and er....Stoke (new manager bounce?) kept the world spinning on it's axis. Leicester signed Silva's death warrant at Watford, edging the Pozzo's ever closer to Doug Ellis' record.

Moyes & Allardyce continued their 2 man reprisal of "Old Dog - Old Tricks" (you must see it before it ends, superb) with home draws. Both "doing a job" I suppose.

Let's get statty:

This week 19 people played. Technically it was 20 but I've mislaid my bit of paper with ECI's results which have now disappeared off their website so until I find it again....19.

Most popular predicted results: Man City & Spurs WINS (19/19)
Most disputed result: Stoke vs Huddersfield (12-5-2 split)

Highest odds: Feneley (881/1)
Lowest odds: AFM (2209/1)
Average odds: 1331/1

Best predictors: Tarek Najm & Doron Salomon (7/10)
Worst predictor: Sam Ruback (3/10)
Average score: 5.1/10

Best predicted result: Man City WIN (19/19)
Worst predicted results: Swansea WIN & Southampton vs Spurs DRAW (0/19)

Everyone's results:


Leaderboard (>2/3; 17/24)


This week's predos:

Swansea vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
West Ham vs Crystal Palace - DRAW
Huddersfield vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Chelsea vs Bournemouth - CHELSEA
Everton vs Leicester - LEICESTER
Newcastle vs Burnley - DRAW
Southampton vs Brighton - BRIGHTON
Man City vs WBA - MAN CITY
Stoke vs Watford - STOKE
Spurs vs Man Utd - DRAW

Good luck guys

Wednesday 24 January 2018

FA Cup 2018: Round 4

I apologise in advance for not checking the data but I think this was a record low for 3rd round scores. The cause, as ever in this game is relative homogeneity in the predictions, matched with a higher than average "shock" quota.

This year, Arsenal & Notts County did the damage to everyone, Swansea, Rochdale & Bradford to nearly everyone. That immediately excludes massive scores.

Now, if I'm honest, I don't know much about any of the games that happened. I had a family celebration all weekend, and then given the utter faecal exhibition on show at the City Ground, I had no desire to go watch MOTD. So yay to the winnners and boo to Nottingham Forest.

Therefore, I have nothing to add. Let's get statty:

This year - there are 9 players

Most popular predicted results: Liverpool, Aston Villa, Leeds, Arsenal, Brentford, Man Utd, Spurs, Middlesborough, Leicester, Cardiff, Man City & Chelsea WINS (9/9)
Most disputed results: Blackburn WIN (5/9)

Best predictors: Doron & the Feneleys (24/32)
Worst predictors: All 3 Daniels (18/32)

Best predicted results: Liverpool, Aston Villa, Leeds, Man Utd, Spurs, Middlesborough, Leicester, Cardiff, Man City & Chelsea WINS (9/9)
Worst predicted results: Notts Forest & Notts County WINS (0/9)

Everyone's results:


Round 4 predos:

Sheffield Wednesday vs Reading - SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY
Yeovil vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Peterborough vs Leicester - LEICESTER
Huddersfield vs Birmingham - HUDDERSFIELD
Notts County vs Swansea - SWANSEA
MK Dons vs Coventry - MK DONS
Millwall vs Rochdale - MILLWALL
Southampton vs Watford - SOUTHAMPTON
Middlesborough vs Brighton - MIDDLESBOROUGH
Wigan vs West Ham - WEST HAM
Hull vs Nottingham Forest - NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Sheffield Utd v Preston - PRESTON
Newport vs Spurs - SPURS
Liverpool vs WBA - LIVERPOOL
Chelsea vs Newcastle - CHELSEA
Cardiff vs Man City - MAN CITY

If you haven't yet paid the £5 and need my bank details, please let me know. If you've paid already, let me know too :D

Good luck guys


Thursday 18 January 2018

S7M24: All change

Firstly, let me start by saying I feel like I've missed some people out from the results this week, so apologies if that's you. Please remind me where you've sent your predos to & will update the database accordingly.

Well what happened this week?

Chelsea drew yet again as Kante & Drinkwater were unable to send old club home with their mangey/bushy tails between their legs. Hodgson is a magician, and the Burnley momentum seems to have slowed. Moyes also has quietly reinvigorated West Ham, and frankly they're probably safe now. Only need to be the 4th worst team...

Newcastle drew with Swansea, but that wasn't the worst part of their week. Their takeover is no more, continuing the Ashley reign. Watford & Southampton had a draw that I know not much about other than the 2-0 down, 2-2 stuff. WBA won for the first time since 2002 and Spurs battered Everton. Allardici dun good.

What happened on Sunday? Arsenal arsenaled it at Bournemouth, and then....el dia de los invincibles arrived at long bloody last. Frankly, I was getting pretty worried. Well done scousers, take the rest of the season off. Don't worry, the benefits will remain paid...

Man Utd won comfortably.

VAR was hilarious in the FA Cup and transfer stuff, but let's cover that when it's all done - apologies to those rereading my thoughts from twitter there...

Let's get statty:
This week 19 people played
Most popular predicted result: Man Utd WIN (19/19)
Most disputed prediction: Huddersfield vs West Ham (5-8-6 split)

Highest odds: Doron Salomon 1707/1
Lowest odds: Steven Daniels 554/1
Average odds: 1131/1

Best predictor: Josh Daniels (7/10)
Worst predictor: WhoScored.com (2/10)
Average score: 3.95/10

Best predicted result: Man Utd WIN (19/19)
Worst predicted result: Bournemouth WIN (0/19)

Everyone's results:


Leaderboard (>2/3 weeks; 16/23)


This week's predos:

Brighton vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace - ARSENAL
Burnley vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Everton vs WBA - EVERTON
Leicester vs Watford - LEICESTER
Stoke vs Huddersfield - DRAW
West Ham vs Bournemouth - WEST HAM
Man City vs Newcastle - MAN CITY
Southampton vs Spurs - SPURS
Swansea vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL

Good like guys!

Thursday 11 January 2018

S7M23: But what is normal

I've got 4 weeks' of data to publish, the games are now getting on for 3 weeks old in some instances and we've all been doing cup stuff the last week.

No chat therefore, but given that I'm almost guaranteed to have made a mistake somewhere, or left someone's results off, please double check and let me know if I need to amend the database.

Let's get statty:

Matchday 19
21 people played
Most popular predicted result: Man City WIN (19/21)
Most disputed predicted result: Brighton vs Watford (5-10-5 split)

Highest odds:  AFM (6819/1)
Lowest odds: Steven Daniels (1081/1)
Average odds: 2653/1

Best predictors: Lawro, Nick Jones & Doron Salomon (5/10)
Worst predictor: 4 of you (2/10)
Average score: 3.19/10

Best predicted result: Man City WIN (19/21)
Worst predicted result: Newcastle WIN (0/21)

Matchday 20
22 people played
Most popular predicted results: Chelsea, Liverpool, Man Utd & Man City WINS (22/22)
Most disputed predicted result: Bournemouth vs West Ham (7-10-5 split)

Highest odds:  AFM (1086/1)
Lowest odds: Steven Daniels (251/1)
Average odds: 520/1

Best predictor: Joe Abbott & David Dinkin (8/10)
Worst predictor: Me (4/10)
Average score: 5.74/10

Best predicted results: Chelsea, Liverpool & Man City WINS (22/22)
Worst predicted result: Man Utd vs Burnley DRAW (0/22)

Matchday 21
21 people played
Most popular predicted results: Man City & Chelsea WIN (21/21)
Most disputed predicted result: Huddersfield vs Burnley (2-9-10 split)

Highest odds: Andrew Feneley (287/1)
Lowest odds: AFM (106/1)
Average odds: 187/1

Best predictor: Loads -  4/9 (4.44/10 when upgraded as per early season rules)
Worst predictor: Loads -  2/9 (2.22/10 when upgraded as per early season rules)
Average score: 2.76/9 (3.07/10)

Best predicted result: Chelsea WIN (21/21)
Worst predicted result: Crystal Palace vs Man City DRAW (0/21)

Matchday 22

Welcome new player - David Graniewitz

17 people played
Most popular predicted results: Spurs & Man City WINS (17/17)
Most disputed predicted result: Brighton vs Bournemouth (5-6-6 split)

Highest odds: Andrew Feneley (3491/1)
Lowest odds: Steven Daniels (850/1)
Average odds: 2250/1

Best predictors: 4 of you (8/10)
Worst predictor: David Graniewitz with a horror debut (3/10)
Average score: 6.11/10

Best predicted result: Spurs & Man City WINS (17/17)
Worst predicted result: Crystal Palace WIN (3/17)

Everyone's results:


To the leaderboard (>2/3 weeks; 15/22)


This week's predos:

Chelsea vs Leicester - CHELSEA
Crystal Palace vs Burnley - CRYSTAL PALACE
Huddersfield vs West Ham - WEST HAM
Newcastle vs Swansea - NEWCASTLE
Watford vs Southampton - DRAW
WBA vs Brighton - DRAW
Spurs vs Everton - SPURS
Bournemouth vs Arsenal - DRAW
Liverpool vs Man City - MAN CITY
Man Utd vs Stoke - MAN UTD

Good luck guys!

Tuesday 2 January 2018

FA Cup 2018: Round 3

A little break from the PL allows me to catch up on the couple of million data points that need to be sorted from the festive fixtures and it's my privilege (checked) to present the return of the FA Cup game.

Revision of the rules:

  • Stand alone from PL game - you can play this if you've not been involved before
  • £5 buy in - submitting predictions = agreeing to pay. Please don't make me chase you.
  • Pick the club to progress from each tie - no draws! (replays, a.e.t., pens etc all count)
  • Predictions need to be submitted before kick off
  • 1 point per correct prediction
  • Prize money payouts to 1st, 2nd 3rd places in May (£ depends on size of prize pot)
  • Share with anyone who's interested - happy to set up another email chain/WhatsApp group for reminders - the more, the merrier, the richer someone gets...
Round 3 Predictions:


Ipswich v Sheffield United - IPSWICH
Watford v Bristol City - WATFORD
Birmingham v Burton - BURTON
Liverpool v Everton - LIVERPOOL
Brighton v Crystal Palace - CRYSTAL PALACE
Aston Villa v Peterborough - ASTON VILLA
Bournemouth v Wigan - WIGAN
Coventry v Stoke - STOKE
Newport v Leeds - LEEDS
Bolton v Huddersfield - HUDDERSFIELD
Yeovil v Bradford - BRADFORD
Nottingham Forest v Arsenal - ARSENAL
Brentford v Notts County - BRENTFORD
QPR v MK Dons - QPR
Manchester United v Derby - MAN UTD
Exeter v West Brom - WBA
Doncaster v Rochdale - DONCASTER
Tottenham v AFC Wimbledon - SPURS
Middlesbrough v Sunderland - MIDDLESBOROUGH
Fleetwood v Leicester - LEICESTER
Blackburn v Hull - BLACKBURN
Cardiff v Mansfield - CARDIFF
Manchester City v Burnley - MAN CITY
Shrewsbury v West Ham - SHREWSBURY
Wolves v Swansea - WOLVES
Stevenage v Reading - STEVENAGE
Newcastle v Luton - NEWCASTLE
Millwall v Barnsley - BARNSLEY
Fulham v Southampton - SOUTHAMPTON
Wycombe v Preston - PRESTON
Norwich v Chelsea - CHELSEA
Carlisle v Sheffield Wednesday - SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY

Good luck guys!