Friday 25 May 2018

Season 7: Wrapped - League & FA Cup gongs + Impossibilitee goes on a World Tour

The skies change from grey to blue and like that, we're done for another year. It's been a bit of a chaotic year personally so my apologies for the slightly haphazard schedule. Friday night games, though rare destroy the ryhthm too and exacerbate issues.

Anyway, for next season, fingers crossed I'll be able to find a system that's NHS proof. My phone is already filled with screenshots of the prediction websites so I can work on  stuff on the go, but I'm not savvy enough to do the stats bit on my phone...so that gets done at home and then the blog gets drafted on the go. Not really any of your issues, but here at Impossibilitee Towers we've decided to be a bit more transparent and so giving you loyal subscribers a BTS look at the machinery. Anyway, if anyone's got any great ideas, I'm all ears.

Anyway, a couple of weeks on from the end of the season and already the new season is starting to take shape. Everyone knew Arsenal would be getting a new manager, but Allardyce & Moyes join Pardew on the short-term recycling pile. You really have to hope they're done - it's frankly boring watching every team turn to them for a short term boost followed by eye-gouging monotony.

Anyway, I've sort of said my piece previously on those teams who impressed and didn't, so let's get statty...

Matchday 38

21 people played
Most popular predicted results: Liverpool, Man United & Man City WINS (21/21)
Most disputed result: West Ham vs Everton (11-10-0 split)

Highest odds: Doron Salomon (1146/1)
Lowest odds: Steven Daniels (476/1)
Average odds: 811/1

Best predictors: Me, Joe Abbott & Andrew Feneley's Mother (8/10)
Worst predictor: Josh Gaon (4/10)
Average score: 6.14/10

Best predicted results: Liverpool, Man United & Man City WINS (21/21)
Worst predicted result: Bournemouth WIN (1/21 - well done Aron Kleiman)

Everyone's scores:



Final leaderboard (>2/3; 25/37):



Congrats to David Silverman winning his first Impossibilitee title. Get that CV updated stat. Trophy will be engraved and delivered over as soon as I, er, get it back. Silverman famously finished LAST in Season 6, so quite the turnaround for him. Clearly a good preseason, a little luck and some outstanding tactical tinkering have paid dividends for him.

Euroclub Index the best modeller. Parental wins in the Abbott, Daniels & Feneley households - in my case due to an interesting rounding up technique from Excel...

Matt Abbott bringing up the rear - a drop of a few places for him.

Those who played but didn't qualify for the leaderboard



I've also been collating cumulative data (as opposed to mean data) and it's as below. I should point out that due to my ineptitude, ECI missed out on 3 weeks, so would likely have topped this table, and potentially the whole thing, so...er, sorry...


Let's get all FA Cuppy:

I haven't given the semi-final results, so let's start there:

Semi-Finals

7/9 played
Most popular prediction: Chelsea WIN (7/7)
Most disputed: Man Utd vs Spurs (4-3 split)

Best predicted result: Chelsea WIN (7/7)
Worst predicted result: (Man Utd WIN 4/7)

Best predictors: The 4 who went for Man Utd...
Worst predictors: Sam, Doron & Me (3/7)


FA Cup Final

8/9 played
Most popular predicted result: Man Utd WIN (6/8)
Best predictors: Me & Gidon for putting a hatred of Mourinho above all else...

Everyone's scoreswith cumulative results...


So congrats to Josh Gaon, picking up a 3nd FA Cup game win in 6 years. The Wenger of Impossibilitee. Doron in 2nd, the Feneleys in 3rd.

Will be in touch re: prizes...

So that's the season all done. However, that's not all....

As you may not know, I've never been a huge fan of international football - or at least, not for more than a decade. So I generally view these summers as a little football detox.

For the last World Cup, we didn't really do anything. I was doing a thing with someone on an app if you remember, which resulted in nowt (for me, that guy, Zucker-something seems to have done ok out of tech). However, something fell into my lap recently and I thought, to maintain momentum, keep the old predicting skills in tip-top condition.

It's via an app called SuperBru - Android/iPhone etc or here:

https://www.superbru.com/worldcup_predictor/pool.php?p=11841549

Join the Pool named: Impossibilitee WC 2018

Pool code: riceergo

I thought I'd have a maintenance free summer (other than updating the museum parts of the blog), so hopefully this will be a bit of fun, reasonably low input from everyone and then somebody can claim Impossibilitee's first GLOBAL tournament.

Anyway, that's all from me.

As ever, thanks to you all for participating, and for those who actually read my drivel - thanks even more. Without you all, I'm just a man with a spreadsheet, and a blog, and an annoyed wife for spending time on this when I have other stuff to do - so basically you all validate my hobby.

Have a great summer, and hope to see some of you on the WC predictor - feel free to spread the word!

Saturday 12 May 2018

S7M38: Maths & a Tale of Mother/Son Love

A little late to the party but I've been on nights and had a tough week and frankly looking forward to the of season.

Let's get a little bit of business out the way first - City break records. 2nd place, 5-7th place and much of the relegation business is done and dusted. Comiserations to WBA for starting their run to safety a few weeks too late. Hearty HAHAHAHAHAHAHA to Stoke, and especially to Ryan Shawcross for his mistake that relegated possibly the nastiest team in existence who have added nothing to the footballing world for the last 10 years and frankly leave behind the horrific stain on the footballing landscape that is Pulis. Oh, and Ramsey's career not hitting the Pele-esque levels that his talent, love of rhinos and frankly, commitment to inane-media-interviews deserves. That boy can state the obvious like no-one's business.

Fortuntaely, I love him, would make him captain and lock him in a room wth a new 10 year contract and tell him for every hour it takes to sign it, I'd personally sneak into a safari park and exterminate a rhino. I obviously wouldn't - love the Attenborough and all that - but I'm not sure Rambo reads the blogs so would he take that chance?

I digress. Stoke. LOL.

Obviously if Rambo did sign that new deal, his leg would then explode or something, but still.

Sorry, digressed again. Stoke. LOL.

Swansea look odds on to join them which, if I'm being totally honest doesn't really bother me due to Wales not being part of England and so finding the whole Cardiff, Wrexham, Swansea thing mildly irritating unless we also include other Home Nations, I'm not agin them going down. Plus, Southampton are a historic PL club with their Merlin sticker albums and their Sanderson sponsored identical kit to Sheffield Wednesday (red stripes, not blue) and that Pahars fella and didn't Francis Benali have a goatee?

Image result for francis benali

He did not. He had a horror 'tache. Might rethink this Swansea being relegated thing.

You may also be interested in some of the rabbit holes I've fallen down whilst writing the above guff.

1) Sanderson now make IT software for retail and e-commerce. I have no idea what they did 20 years ago but probably not that

2)Image result for aaron ramsey rhino Image result for aaron ramsey rhino

Does Ramsey just keep a stack of T-shirts in his locker and hand them out?
I mean he's right. Poaching is evil and bad and rhinos are quite good, although not that brilliant in the animal kingdom hierarchy but still don't deserve extinction. I'm glad he has a hobby and a passion away from football. Sorry Aaron, if you're reading. I'll donate my winnings from tomorrow to a rhino welfare charity...

Image result for aaron ramsey rhino

You cheating, two-timing bugger. You'll go after anything with horns.

I think I've digressed again. STOKE. LOL. Let's get statty.

Matchday 37

19 people played
Most popular predicted result: Man City WIN (19/19)
Most disputed result: Watford vs Newcastle (6-6-7 split)

Highest odds: Doron Salomon (3034/1)
Lowest odds: Steven Daniela (1651/1)
Average odds: 2343/1

Highest scorers: FinkTank & Andrew Feneley's Mother (6/10)
Lowest scorer: Feneley himself, (2/10)
Average score: 4.32/10

Best predicted result: Man City WIN (19/19)
Worst predicted results: Brighton, West Ham & WBA WINS (0/19)

Everyone's scores:




Leaderboard (>2/3;  25/36)



David Silverman has a good lead at the top, but it's not mathematically over yet. Feneley & Daniels grudge matches are also still in play.

This week's predos:

Burnley vs Bournemouth - BURNLEY
Crystal Palace vs WBA - CRYSTAL PALACE
Huddersfield vs Arsenal - ARSENAL (AWAY WIN-TASTIC)
Liverpool vs Brighton - LIVERPOOL
Man Utd vs Watford - MAN UTD
Newcastle vs Chelsea - NEWCASTLE
Southampton vs Man City - MAN CITY
Swansea vs Stoke - SWANSEA
Spurs vs Leicester - SPURS
West Ham vs Everton - WEST HAM

Good luck guys - results blog next week, along with FA Cup final AND details of a World Cup Predictor....

(for those wondering where my #MerciArsene stuff was - still unable to put that all into words...)

Friday 4 May 2018

S7M37: Ticker tape cannons

Bit of a weird sensation at this time of the year with basically nothing to say.

Man City chasing goal/point records - yay them. WBA aren't down except they are - just a little death rattle from them. Spurs, Liverpool and Chelsea just consolidating. Man Utd the same, beating a disinterested Arsenal side slightly fortuitously I thought. Draw probably fairer there. Also - the whole presentation to Wenger thing can get stuffed. Lovely that Fergie & him get on now - but Mourinho shouldn't have been near it and as for fans who've called him a paedo for 20+ years? you want praise for a minute of applause? Do one

Everton won - what is an Everton? Good wins for Southampton and Palace, but the Burnley/Brighton draw, whilst not terrible isn't going to help either team.

So - nothing really to talk about, let's get statty:

This week:
20 people played
Most popular predicted results: Liverpool, Burnley, Man City & Spurs WINS (20/20)
Most disputed result: Southampton vs Bournemouth (11-6-3 split)

Highest odds: Steven Daniels (826/1)
Lowest odds: Doron Salomon (722/1)
Average odds: 774/

Best predictors: FinkTank & Joe Abbott (7/10)
Worst predictors: Loads of us (4/10)
Average score: 5.2/10

Best predicted results: Man City & Spurs WINS (20/20)
Worst predicted results: Liverpool vs Stoke DRAW, Burnley vs Brighton DRAW & WBA WIN (0/20)

E

Leaderboard (>2/3; 24/35)


This week's predos:

Brighton vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Stoke vs Crystal Palace - CRYSTAL PALACE
Bournemouth vs Swansea - BOURNEMOUTH
Leicester vs West Ham - LEICESTER
Watford vs Newcastle - NEWCASTLE
WBA vs Spurs - SPURS
Everton vs Southampton - EVERTON
Man City vs Huddersfield - MAN CITY
Arsenal vs Burnley - ARSENAL
Chelsea vs Liverpool - CHELSEA

Good luck guys