S12M38: One Last Place

Well here we are. The last matchday in the 12th season. The next time a Google form joins this blog, it'll be entering (religious) adulthood. Madness

Results played out over the last week that have now confirmed many things.

Man City are champions - without playing, although they then beat Chelsea for good measure.
Arsenal will finish second, limping to the end of the season. If you'd like to read something else I wrote about that, On Bottle, you can do so.

Man Utd (assuming a point tonight against Chelsea) & Newcastle will get the CL places - order TBC. Liverpool & Brighton will get the EL places. Villa are now favourites for the ECL place, although Brentford and Spurs could get that yet. So that's one thing to look out for on Sunday. I'm going to zoom through mid-table, the Premier League equivalent of the Flyover States to focus on the 2 from 3 situation to go down.

Leicester and Leeds are currently in possession of those 2 spaces with Everton 2 points clear. 

This is how it plays out:

Everton WIN (at home to Bournemouth): EFC survive, LEI & LUFC down

Everton DRAW & LEI WIN: LEI survive on GD, EFC & LUFC Down

EFC DRAW & LUFC WIN, LEI DRAW/LOSE: GD into play. Currently EFC -24 & LUFC -27. So a 3-0 win for LUFC and a 1-1 draw on Merseyside sees LUFC survive on goals scored.

EFC LOSE: LEI & LUFC need to win. If both win, LEI survives. If only LUFC, LUFC survive.

Leicester play West Ham at home, Leeds have Spurs at home too

West Ham are the most in form. Spurs are the highest ranked....

So money on the table time: I've always felt Leeds would survive. But with 1 point from 9 in their last 5 games vs Leicester, Bournemouth & West Ham...it's not looking likely they score 3+ goals vs Spurs. They've scored 3+ times once since November, and that was a statistically mad game vs Wolves. So....Leeds can only stay up if Everton lose & Leicester lose or draw. I just cant see it and it hurts me to say it. Leeds to go down. 

Now who will join them - this one is easier. Leicester are awful and we're far enough away from the ECL final that I think West Ham will win. So, Leicester to go down too, in 19th, Leeds to get a 2 goal win and bitten fingernails to finish in 18th. 

Bosh.

Let's get statty:

This week, 14 people played
Most popular predicted results: Man City & Newcastle WINS (14/14)
Most disputed prediction: West Ham vs Leeds (7-5-2 split)

Highest/Lowest/Average odds: Steven Daniels (803/1)

Best predictor: ECI (6/10)
Worst predictors: Loads of us (3/10)
Average score: 3.86/10

Best predicted result: Man City WIN (14/14)
Worst predicted results: Newcastle/Leicester & Liverpool/Aston Villa DRAWS (0/14)

Everyone's results:

Leaderboard (>2/3; 25/37)

So for the last time this season, to this week's predos:

Good luck all!