Thursday 9 March 2017

S6M28 & FA CUP R6: Pro Rata's revenge

So I was going to do a little recap of the week & the FA Cup 5th round, but frankly, this week has seen enough ridiculous football to make raking over the (recent) past somewhat redundant. The Champions League has thrown up enough talking points to keep radio alive until the Sun implodes on itself. Either Sun, although 1 would be more beneficial to humanity than the other...

There's also a fair amount of statty stuff to get through too, so let's just end on the Chelsea juggernaut rolling forward, and the Ranieri sacking finding itself in the same bracket as Adkins at Southampton. Retroscope has 20:20 vision and all that...

Let's get statty:

Matchday 27:
25 people played
Most popular predicted results: Chelsea & Man City WINS (25/25)
Most disputed result: Watford vs Southampton (6-8-11 split)

Highest odds: My mother 7509/1
Lowest odds: Feneley 1122/1
Average odds: 2631/1

Best predictor: Fink Tank (8/10)
Worst predictors: Eli Daniels & David Silverman (4/10)
Average score: 5.68/10

Best predicted result: Chelsea & Man City WINS (25/25)
Worst predicted result: Man Utd vs Bournemouth DRAW (0/25) - was that only last week? Seems like forever that we were getting excited about the Mings/Ibrahimovic stuff...

Everyone's scores:


The leaderboard (>2/3; 19/27)


To the FA Cup (& the Roly Poly Goalie....)

10/11 played
Most popular predicted results: Chelsea, Man Utd, Man City & Arsenal WINS (10/10)
Most disputed result: Millwall vs Leicester (6-4 split)

Best predicted results: Chelsea, Man Utd, Man City & Arsenal WINS (10/10)
Worst predicted result: Lincoln WIN (1/10 - congrats Dan Wigman - giant killer extraordinaire)

Best predictors: 5 of us (7/8)
Worst predictor: Steven Daniels (4/8) - of those who played

Everyone's scores (and totals):


Right, to this week's predictions and it's all a little complex:

The simpler bit first...

FA Cup R6 (QF) predos:

Middlesborough vs Man City - MAN CITY
Arsenal vs Lincoln - ARSENAL
Spurs vs Millwall - SPURS
Chelsea vs Man Utd - CHELSEA

The more complex bit...

Matchday 28:

Hull vs Swansea - SWANSEA
Everton vs WBA - EVERTON
Bournemouth vs West Ham - BOURNEMOUTH
Liverpool vs Burnley - LIVERPOOL

Now...as mentioned at the start of the season, we're going to pro-rata this weekend, as we did 2 weeks ago. The issue is that there was a much fuller programme that weekend that this. So this might be a little ridiculous.

So...I'm willing to put this week to a public vote. If >2/3 of people indicate that this week should be discounted, then we'll do so. We can maybe think about instigating a threshold of >50% of games to be played or something.

Predictions/comments etc below the line....

Good luck guys






13 comments:

Tarek said...

FA Cup R6 (QF) predos:

Middlesborough vs Man City - MAN CITY
Arsenal vs Lincoln - ARSENAL
Spurs vs Millwall - SPURS
Chelsea vs Man Utd - CHELSEA

Matchday 28:
My vote is for ignoring this round. If we do count it, here are my predos:

Hull vs Swansea - SWANSEA
Everton vs WBA - EVERTON
Bournemouth vs West Ham - BOURNEMOUTH
Liverpool vs Burnley - LIVERPOOL

Doron said...

FA Cup:

Middlesborough vs Man City - MAN CITY
Arsenal vs Lincoln - ARSENAL
Spurs vs Millwall - SPURS
Chelsea vs Man Utd - CHELSEA

I vote to ignore this round but...

Matchday 28:

Hull vs Swansea - DRAW
Everton vs WBA - EVERTON
Bournemouth vs West Ham - WEST HAM
Liverpool vs Burnley - LIVERPOOL

Unknown said...

Middlesborough vs Man City - MAN CITY
Arsenal vs Lincoln - ARSENAL
Spurs vs Millwall - SPURS
Chelsea vs Man Utd - CHELSEA


Matchday 28:

Hull vs Swansea - SWANSEA
Everton vs WBA - EVERTON
Bournemouth vs West Ham - WEST HAM
Liverpool vs Burnley - LIVERPOOL

Ambivalent on the gameweek. Just glad to be off the bottom!

David B said...

I vote to ignore this round, but if not...

Hull vs Swansea - DRAW
Everton vs WBA - EVERTON
Bournemouth vs West Ham - DRAW
Liverpool vs Burnley - LIVERPOOL

Dagmar said...

I vote to ignore this round, but if not...

Hull vs Swansea - Swansea
Everton vs WBA - EvertOn
Bournemouth vs West Ham - Draw
Liverpool vs Burnley - Liverpool

Steven said...

Middlesborough vs Man City - MIDDLESBROUGH
Arsenal vs Lincoln - ARSENAL
Spurs vs Millwall - MILLWALL
Chelsea vs Man Utd - MAN UTD

Matchday 28:
My vote is for ignoring this round. If we do count it, here are my predos:

Hull vs Swansea - HULL
Everton vs WBA - EVERTON
Bournemouth vs West Ham - BOURNEMOUTH
Liverpool vs Burnley - LIVERPOOL

RDM




Matchday 28:
My vote is for ignoring this round. If we do count it, here are my predos:

Hull vs Swansea - DRAW
Everton vs WBA - WBA
Bournemouth vs West Ham - BOURNEMOUTH
Liverpool vs Burnley - LIVERPOOL

Reply

Reply

Dgsilverman said...

Hull vs Swansea - SWANSEA
Everton vs WBA - EVERTON
Bournemouth vs West Ham - DRAW
Liverpool vs Burnley - LIVERPOOL

Feneley said...

Middlesborough vs Man City - MAN CITY
Arsenal vs Lincoln - ARSENAL
Spurs vs Millwall - SPURS
Chelsea vs Man Utd - CHELSEA

3/1

AF

Hull vs Swansea - SWANSEA
Everton vs WBA - EVERTON
Bournemouth vs West Ham - BOURNEMOUTH
Liverpool vs Burnley - LIVERPOOL

14/1 for what it's worth
A vote AGAINST the matches counting towards the total

AFM

Hull vs Swansea - HULL
Everton vs WBA - EVERTON
Bournemouth vs West Ham - DRAW
Liverpool vs Burnley - LIVERPOOL

16/1
A vote FOR the matches counting towards the total

David Dinkin said...

Hull vs Swansea - DRAW
Everton vs WBA - EVERTON
Bournemouth vs West Ham - DRAW
Liverpool vs Burnley - LIVERPOOL

Sam Ruback said...

FA Cup:

Not actually sure if I'm in this game, but...

Middlesborough vs Man City - MAN CITY
Arsenal vs Lincoln - ARSENAL
Spurs vs Millwall - SPURS
Chelsea vs Man Utd - CHELSEA

I vote to ignore this round:

Matchday 28:

Hull vs Swansea - HULL
Everton vs WBA - EVERTON
Bournemouth vs West Ham - WEST HAM
Liverpool vs Burnley - LIVERPOOL

Will O'Doherty said...

I think discount these games.


Hull vs Swansea - SWANSEA
Everton vs WBA - EVERTON
Bournemouth vs West Ham - BOURNEMOUTH
Liverpool vs Burnley - LIVERPOOL

Joe Abbott said...

Hull vs Swansea - DRAW
Everton vs WBA - EVERTON
Bournemouth vs West Ham - WEST HAM
Liverpool vs Burnley - LIVERPOOL

I would void this week

Joe Abbott said...

Middlesborough vs Man City - MAN CITY
Arsenal vs Lincoln - ARSENAL
Spurs vs Millwall - SPURS
Chelsea vs Man Utd - CHELSEA