Thursday, 8 December 2016

S6M15: Sergio's not the Messiah

Regular readers will know I've got a thing for Aguero. He's one of my favourite players - everything from his running style (Oh Hi there, Jordan Henderson) to his variety to finishing to his butter-wouldn't-melt face. The last of these is difficult to square with the Aguero who launched himself at David Luiz. He was suitably phlegmatic about it afterwards (would be quite difficult to protest the red card decision in fairness) and it's easy to put it down to frustrations at his own game, the decision not to send off Luiz in the first half for a pretty blatant professional foul and then the game running away from City in the 2nd half. Easy, understandable - and yet....he's done this before. On Luiz. In similar circumstances.

So one could argue that the following is true:

  • Aguero & Luiz aren't besties
  • Aguero isn't happy at the minute - but clearly cares enough about City's form this season
  • Aguero's one of THEM.
You see, as we all know, all the best* strikers have a little bit of the devil in them. Suarez, Shearer, and Bergkamp were all capable of acts of violence on the pitch whether premeditated or just rushes of adrenaline-saturated blood to the head. Pantomime villains like Drogba, van Nistelrooy & Costa are wind-up merchants extraordinaire - supremely gifted strikers willing to act the fool to unsettle opponents before capitalising when this tactic provided a chink. 

For me, it's a human element of the game that I love - without condoning acts of assault, that atavistic thrill that results from seeing these athletic giants with their impeccable technique revert to the mean. We all watch professionals do the basics and become desensitised - but how many of us could control the ball and pass with the same consistency in a 5 a side game? Then how many could do it if you increase the pace of the pass, decrease the space to work in and add in an 85kg muscular missiles hurtling towards you? And not to control the ball, but to then pass, move, and make the right decisions over and over for 45 minutes without respite. To have perfect spatial awareness and be both proactive & reactive - it's remarkable the level that these guys perform at - which is why they are professionals and I write a weekly blog predicting poorly what these guys will do.

However, every now and again, they descend from Olympus and show that for all the money, the boot deals, the training and the pressure - under all of that, deep down is a piece of you and me. For which of us hasn't got really frustrated with the clogger on your team at Powerleague, or with your chocolate-wristed keeper single handedly turning a win into defeat? Who hasn't sworn at some higher footballing power  (physical or metaphysical) for any perceived slight against you, or for that awful touch when through on goal.

We all know what it's like to crack, to want to thump the ball/player/dressing room wall and we've all seen players having a bad day and thought...I'm gonna go there...he's on tilt. That glimpse of the underlying amateur in the finest professionals is, for me, one of football's little delights, and makes up for seeing Chelsea win...again.

*best - my favourite. Lineker was boring. Messi moans more than needing to be evil, but is also actually not human so doesn't count.

In other news, Bradley's bright new dawn didn't last all that long at the hands of a revitalised Spurs, Palace won against a Southampton side who's focus might now have been entirely in South London, Sunderland are doing their utmost to make me look stupider, West Ham's karma for the Olympic stadium debacle comes home to roost with Alexis Sanchez having a blinder. PAY THIS MAN WHATEVER HE WANTS. Middlesborough look good against a Hull side in all kinds of trouble, and Fellaini fellaini'd it to drop yet more late points at Everton. A generous penalty I thought, but given that Rojo absolutely got away with one before....

Any other week, we'd talk more about Bournemouth vs Liverpool but I think I've written plenty and I've still not quite processed how 1-3 went south so quickly for Klopp's men. Momentum and mentality - 2 of the intangibles in professional sport - maybe a topic for another time. It'll be interesting to see how they respond to this - and whether Karius gets the chop 'cos frankly, he's not good enough for them right now.

Let's get statty:

Last week, 23 people played.
Most popular predicted result: Spurs WIN (22/23)
Most disputed result: Sunderland vs Leicester (5-5-13 split). I think. Man City vs Chelsea was 12-7-4 and my head can't work out whether that's a bigger or smaller split. The range is the same, and arguably the distribution is more even. This leads me to conclude that I really should have paid more attention in my maths classes at school. Answers on a postcard to the usual address..

Highest odds: My mother  (6439/1)
Lowest odds: Me (1343/1) 
Average odds: 3327/1

Best predictors: Lawro, WhoScored.com & Matt Abbott (7/10)
Worst predictors: Steven Daniels, Feneleys 1 & 2 & Will O'D (cracking up...) (3/10)
Average score: 4.96/10

Best predicted result: Spurs WIN (22/23)
Worst predicted result: Bournemouth WIN (0/23)

Everyone's scores:


To the leaderboard now (>2/3; 10/14)


A new leader & a new name at the bottom. Aron "Sunderland" Kleiman sees himself off the foot of the table for the first time this season, whilst Lawro's stealthy climb continues. In other very important news, I've also caught my father up. Not that I'm competitive like that. There are a few people who are a few good weeks of attendance away from joining the leaderboard, which could shake things up further, so make sure to play over the festive fixtures, as things could change very quickly.

To this week's fixtures:

Matchday 15

Watford vs Everton - DRAW
Arsenal vs Stoke - ARSENAL
Burnley vs Bournemouth - BOURNEMOUTH
Hull vs Crystal Palace - CRYSTAL PALACE
Swansea vs Sunderland - SUNDERLAND
Leicester vs Man City - MAN CITY
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Man Utd vs Spurs - MAN UTD
Southampton vs Middlesborough - SOUTHAMPTON
Liverpool vs West Ham - LIVERPOOL

Total odds: 826/1 (Paddypower)


Matchday 16

Bournemouth vs Leicester - LEICESTER
Everton vs Arsenal - DRAW
Middlesborough vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL 
Sunderland vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
West Ham vs Burnley - DRAW
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Man City vs Watford - MAN CITY
Stoke vs Southampton - SOUTHAMPTON
Spurs vs Hull - SPURS
WBA vs Swansea - WBA


Good luck guys!

29 comments:

Joe Abbott said...

Watford vs Everton - Everton
Arsenal vs Stoke - Arsenal
Burnley vs Bournemouth - Draw
Hull vs Crystal Palace - Crystal Palace
Swansea vs Sunderland - Draw
Leicester vs Man City - Man City
Chelsea vs WBA - Chelsea
Man Utd vs Spurs - Draw
Southampton vs Middlesborough - Southampton
Liverpool vs West Ham - Liverpool


Bournemouth vs Leicester - Leicester
Everton vs Arsenal - Arsenal
Middlesborough vs Leicester - Leicester
Sunderland vs Chelsea - Chelsea
West Ham vs Burnley - West Ham
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - Man Utd
Man City vs Watford - Man City
Stoke vs Southampton - Stoke
Spurs vs Hull - Spurs
WBA vs Swansea - WBA

Matt Abbott said...

Watford vs Everton - Everton
Arsenal vs Stoke - Arsenal
Burnley vs Bournemouth - Bournemouth
Hull vs Crystal Palace - Crystal Palace
Swansea vs Sunderland - Draw
Leicester vs Man City - Man City
Chelsea vs WBA - Chelsea
Man Utd vs Spurs - Draw
Southampton vs Middlesborough - Southampton
Liverpool vs West Ham - Liverpool


Bournemouth vs Leicester - Bournemouth
Everton vs Arsenal - Draw
Middlesborough vs Leicester - Draw
Sunderland vs Chelsea - Chelsea
West Ham vs Burnley - West Ham
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - Man Utd
Man City vs Watford - Man City
Stoke vs Southampton - Southampton
Spurs vs Hull - Spurs
WBA vs Swansea - WBA

Steven said...

Watford vs Everton - WATFORD
Arsenal vs Stoke - ARSENAL
Burnley vs Bournemouth - BOURNEMOUTH
Hull vs Crystal Palace - DRAW
Swansea vs Sunderland - SUNDERLAND
Leicester vs Man City - MAN CITY
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Man Utd vs Spurs - DRAW
Southampton vs Middlesborough - DRAW
Liverpool vs West Ham - LIVERPOOL

Total odds: 3593/1 (Paddypower)
Min 366/1
Max 10,920,943/1

RDM
Watford vs Everton - WATFORD
Arsenal vs Stoke - DRAW
Burnley vs Bournemouth - BOURNEMOUTH
Hull vs Crystal Palace - CRYSTAL PALACE
Swansea vs Sunderland - SUNDERLAND
Leicester vs Man City - MAN CITY
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Man Utd vs Spurs - SPURS
Southampton vs Middlesborough - SOUTHAMPTON
Liverpool vs West Ham - LIVERPOOL

Total odds: 4377/1 (Paddypower)

Steven said...

Bournemouth vs Leicester - BOURNEMOUTH
Everton vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Middlesborough vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
West Ham vs Burnley - WEST HAM
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Man City vs Watford - -MAN CITY
Stoke vs Southampton - STOKE
Spurs vs Hull - SPURS
WBA vs Swansea - WEST BROM


Total odds 217/1 Paddypower
Min 212/1
Max 26,155,906/1


RDM IDENTICAL

David B said...

Matchday 15
Watford vs Everton - EVERTON
Arsenal vs Stoke - ARSENAL
Burnley vs Bournemouth - BURNLEY
Hull vs Crystal Palace - CRYSTAL PALACE
Swansea vs Sunderland - DRAW
Leicester vs Man City - MAN CITY
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Man Utd vs Spurs - DRAW
Southampton vs Middlesborough - SOUTHAMPTON
Liverpool vs West Ham - LIVERPOOL

Eli Daniels said...

Watford vs Everton - WATFORD
Arsenal vs Stoke - ARSENAL
Burnley vs Bournemouth - BOURNEMOUTH
Hull vs Crystal Palace - Palace
Swansea vs Sunderland - SUNDERLAND
Leicester vs Man City - MAN CITY
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Man Utd vs Spurs - DRAW
Southampton vs Middlesborough - Saints
Liverpool vs West Ham - LIVERPOOL

Menachem said...

Watford vs Everton - Everton
Arsenal vs Stoke - Arsenal
Burnley vs Bournemouth - Draw
Hull vs Crystal Palace - Palace
Swansea vs Sunderland - Sunderland
Leicester vs Man City - Man City
Chelsea vs WBA - Chelsea
Man Utd vs Spurs - Draw
Southampton vs Middlesborough - Saints
Liverpool vs West Ham - Liverpool

Unknown said...

Watford vs Everton - DRAW
Arsenal vs Stoke - ARSENAL
Burnley vs Bournemouth - BOURNEMOUTH
Hull vs Crystal Palace - CRYSTAL PALACE
Swansea vs Sunderland - SWANSEA
Leicester vs Man City - MAN CITY
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Man Utd vs Spurs - DRAW
Southampton vs Middlesborough - SOUTHAMPTON
Liverpool vs West Ham - LIVERPOOL

Jonny A said...

Watford vs Everton - Everton
Arsenal vs Stoke - Arsenal
Burnley vs Bournemouth - Bournemouth
Hull vs Crystal Palace - Draw
Swansea vs Sunderland - Sunderland
Leicester vs Man City - Man City
Chelsea vs WBA - Chelsea
Man Utd vs Spurs - Draw
Southampton vs Middlesborough - Southampton
Liverpool vs West Ham - Liverpool

Bournemouth vs Leicester - Draw
Everton vs Arsenal - Arsenal
Middlesborough vs Leicester - Draw
Sunderland vs Chelsea - Draw
West Ham vs Burnley - Draw
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - Man Utd
Man City vs Watford - Man City
Stoke vs Southampton - Draw
Spurs vs Hull - Spurs
WBA vs Swansea - WBA

Dagmar said...

Watford vs Everton - Everton
Arsenal vs Stoke - Arsenal
Burnley vs Bournemouth - Bournemouth
Hull vs Crystal Palace - Crystal Palace
Swansea vs Sunderland - Sunderland
Leicester vs Man City - Man City
Chelsea vs WBA - Chelsea
Man Utd vs Spurs - Draw
Southampton vs Middlesborough - Southampton
Liverpool vs West Ham - Liverpool

Doron said...

Watford vs Everton - DRAW
Arsenal vs Stoke - ARSENAL
Burnley vs Bournemouth - BOURNEMOUTH
Hull vs Crystal Palace - DRAW
Swansea vs Sunderland - SWANSEA
Leicester vs Man City - MAN CITY
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Man Utd vs Spurs - DRAW
Southampton vs Middlesborough - SOUTHAMPTON
Liverpool vs West Ham - LIVERPOOL

1133/1

David Dinkin said...

Watford vs Everton - WATFORD
Arsenal vs Stoke - ARSENAL
Burnley vs Bournemouth - BURNLEY
Hull vs Crystal Palace - CRYSTAL PALACE
Swansea vs Sunderland - SWANSEA
Leicester vs Man City - MAN CITY
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Man Utd vs Spurs - MAN UTD
Southampton vs Middlesborough - SOUTHAMPTON
Liverpool vs West Ham - LIVERPOOL

Matchday 16

Bournemouth vs Leicester - DRAW
Everton vs Arsenal - DRAW
Middlesborough vs LIVERPOOL - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
West Ham vs Burnley - WEST HAM
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - CRYSTAL PALACE
Man City vs Watford - MAN CITY
Stoke vs Southampton - DRAW
Spurs vs Hull - SPURS
WBA vs Swansea - WBA

Tarek said...

Watford vs Everton - DRAW
Arsenal vs Stoke - ARSENAL
Burnley vs Bournemouth - BURNLEY
Hull vs Crystal Palace - CRYSTAL PALACE
Swansea vs Sunderland - SWANSEA
Leicester vs Man City - MAN CITY
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Man Utd vs Spurs - DRAW
Southampton vs Middlesborough - SOUTHAMPTON
Liverpool vs West Ham - LIVERPOOL

Sam Ruback said...

Watford vs Everton - DRAW
Arsenal vs Stoke - ARSENAL
Burnley vs Bournemouth - BOURNEMOUTH
Hull vs Crystal Palace - CRYSTAL PALACE
Swansea vs Sunderland - SWANSEA
Leicester vs Man City - MAN CITY
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Man Utd vs Spurs - MAN UTD
Southampton vs Middlesborough - SOUTHAMPTON
Liverpool vs West Ham - LIVERPOOL

Feneley said...

AF

Watford vs Everton - EVERTON
Arsenal vs Stoke - ARSENAL
Burnley vs Bournemouth - BOURNEMOUTH
Hull vs Crystal Palace - HULL
Swansea vs Sunderland - SWANSEA
Leicester vs Man City - DRAW
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Man Utd vs Spurs - MAN UTD
Southampton vs Middlesborough - SOUTHAMPTON
Liverpool vs West Ham - LIVERPOOL

770/1

AFM

Watford vs Everton - WATFORD
Arsenal vs Stoke - ARSENAL
Burnley vs Bournemouth - BURNLEY
Hull vs Crystal Palace - HULL
Swansea vs Sunderland - SWANSEA
Leicester vs Man City - DRAW
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Man Utd vs Spurs - MAN UTD
Southampton vs Middlesborough - SOUTHAMPTON
Liverpool vs West Ham - LIVERPOOL

1377/1

Josh Gaon said...

Watford vs Everton - DRAW
Arsenal vs Stoke - Arsenal
Burnley vs Bournemouth - BOURNEMOUTH
Hull vs Crystal Palace - Crystal Palace
Swansea vs Sunderland - SWANSEA
Leicester vs Man City - Man City
Chelsea vs WBA - Chelsea
Man Utd vs Spurs - UNITED
Southampton vs Middlesborough - Southampton
Liverpool vs West Ham - Liverpool

Joshua Daniels said...

Matchday 15

Watford vs Everton - Watford
Arsenal vs Stoke - ARSENAL
Burnley vs Bournemouth - Burnley
Hull vs Crystal Palace - CRYSTAL PALACE
Swansea vs Sunderland - SUNDERLAND
Leicester vs Man City - MAN CITY
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Man Utd vs Spurs - drawv
Southampton vs Middlesborough - draw
Liverpool vs West Ham - LIVERPOOL

Total odds: 3667/1 (Paddypower)

Nicholas Jones said...

Matchday 15

Watford vs Everton - Draw
Arsenal vs Stoke - ARSENAL
Burnley vs Bournemouth - Draw
Hull vs Crystal Palace - CRYSTAL PALACE
Swansea vs Sunderland - SWansea
Leicester vs Man City - MAN CITY
Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Man Utd vs Spurs - draw
Southampton vs Middlesborough - Southampton
Liverpool vs West Ham - LIVERPOOL

David B said...

Matchday 16

Bournemouth vs Leicester LEICESTER
Everton vs Arsenal ARSENAL
Middlesborough vs Liverpool LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs Chelsea CHELSEA
West Ham vs Burnley BURNLEY
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd MAN UTD
Man City vs Watford MAN CITY
Stoke vs Southampton DRAW
Spurs vs Hull SPURS
WBA vs Swansea WEST BROM

Josh Daniels said...

Bournemouth vs Leicester - Leicester
Everton vs Arsenal - Arsenal
Middlesborough vs Liverpool - Draw
Sunderland vs Chelsea - Sunderland
West Ham vs Burnley - West Ham
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - United
Man City vs Watford - City
Stoke vs Southampton - Draw
Spurs vs Hull - Spurs
WBA vs Swansea - WBA

55979/1 (Sunderland and boro may have skewed my odds slightly)

Josh Daniels said...

Predictions for Weekend 17th December and Boxing Day as I will be away with out internet for them

Chelsea vs Palace - Chelsea
Boro vs Swansea - Boro
Stoke vs Leicester - Stoke
Sunderland vs Watford - Watford
West Ham vs Hull - West Ham
WBA vs United - Draw
B'Mouth vs S'hampton - B'mouth
City vs Arsenal - Arsenal
Sp*rs vs Burnley - Sp*rs
Scouse Blue vs Scouse Red - Scouse Red

Odds of 1850/1

Boxing Day

Watford vs Palace - Draw
Arsenal vs WBA - Arsenal
Burnley vs Boro - Burnley
Chelsea vs B'mouth - Chelsea
Leicester vs Everton - Everton
Utd vs Sunderland - United
Swansea vs West Ham - Draw
Hull vs City - City
Liverpool vs Stoke - Liverpool
S'hampton vs Sp*rs - Spurs

Odds of 789/1

Doron said...

Bournemouth vs Leicester - DRAW
Everton vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Middlesborough vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
West Ham vs Burnley - WEST HAM
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - MAN UNITED
Man City vs Watford - MAN CITY
Stoke vs Southampton - STOKE
Spurs vs Hull - SPURS
WBA vs Swansea - WEST BROM

338/1

(I should probably bet against a United win more often!)

Menachem said...

Bournemouth vs Leicester - Leicester
Everton vs Arsenal - Arsenal
Middlesborough vs Liverpool - Liverpool
Sunderland vs Chelsea - Chelsea
West Ham vs Burnley - West Ham
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - Man Utd
Man City vs Watford - Man City
Stoke vs Southampton - Draw
Spurs vs Hull - Spurs
WBA vs Swansea - WBA

Sam Ruback said...

Bournemouth vs Leicester - LEICESTER
Everton vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Middlesborough vs LIVERPOOL - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs Chelsea - DRAW
West Ham vs Burnley - WEST HAM
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - CRYSTAL PALACE
Man City vs Watford - MAN CITY
Stoke vs Southampton - STOKE
Spurs vs Hull - SPURS
WBA vs Swansea - DRAW

6008/1

Feneley said...

AF

Bournemouth vs Leicester - LEICESTER
Everton vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Middlesborough vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
West Ham vs Burnley - WEST HAM
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - DRAW
Man City vs Watford - MAN CITY
Stoke vs Southampton - STOKE
Spurs vs Hull - SPURS
WBA vs Swansea - SWANSEA

AFM

Bournemouth vs Leicester - LEICESTER
Everton vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Middlesborough vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
West Ham vs Burnley - BURNLEY
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Man City vs Watford - WATFORD
Stoke vs Southampton - SOUTHAMPTON
Spurs vs Hull - HULL
WBA vs Swansea - SWANSEA

Dagmar said...

Bournemouth vs Leicester - Leicester
Everton vs Arsenal - Arsenal
Middlesborough vs Liverpool - Liverpool
Sunderland vs Chelsea - Chelsea
West Ham vs Burnley - West Ham
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - Man Utd
Man City vs Watford - Man City
Stoke vs Southampton - Stoke
Spurs vs Hull - Spurs
WBA vs Swansea - West Brom

Stefan said...

Everton will meet Arsenal in today's game played at Goodison Park Stadium. In their last meeting, Arsenal won the match with 0-2. I wonder if Wenger's team prepared us with a surprise for today. Based on the past results of the two teams, I would expect for Arsenal to perform well during this meeting and win this game. It should be interesting to see if Alexis Sánchez will score during this match as he has a good average in terms of goals scored / match. If you have some knowledge regarding football, you can share your opinion using the Betsafe review.

Eli Daniels said...

Bournemouth vs Leicester - LEICESTER
Everton vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Middlesborough vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
West Ham vs Burnley - WEST HAM
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Man City vs Watford - MAN CITY
Stoke vs Southampton - SOUTHAMPTON
Spurs vs Hull - SPURS
WBA vs Swansea - WBA

Aron Kleiman said...

Bournemouth vs Leicester - LEICESTER
Everton vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Middlesborough vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
West Ham vs Burnley - WEST HAM
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd - DRAW
Man City vs Watford - CITY
Stoke vs Southampton - STOKE
Spurs vs Hull - SPURS
WBA vs Swansea -DRAW