Friday 30 November 2012

Matchday 15: A lot of results and a few predictions

Too much to get through for any sort of attempt at witty preamble. It's my own fault really; if I'd done the graphs before, you'd have more time to read my ever interesting thoughts. As it stands, let's get resulty...

I've finally got the data off my old laptop, and so have got a completed set of results for MATCHDAY 11 (this one wasn't laziness, it was impossible to get the ECI data from that week without my old spreadsheet):


This week, 16 people played.
Most popular predicted results: Everton & Man Utd WINS (16/16)
Most disputed result: Southampton vs Swansea (6-3-7 split)

Longest odds: Doron Salomon 3813/1 
Shortest odds: Feneley 994/1
Average odds: 3156/1

Best predictor: Menachem with a decent 7/10
Worst predictors: Josh Daniels & Yanik Joshi (3/10)
Average score: 5/10

Best predicted results: Everton & Man Utd WINS (16/16)
Worst predicted results:  Arsenal vs Fulham DRAW (1/16 - well done Menachem)

Villain of the week: No scores high enough to count unfortunately.

Everyone's results:



MATCHDAY 12 (ok, this one was poor on my part):


This week, 14 people played.
Most popular predicted result: Man City WIN (14/14)
Most disputed results: Newcastle vs Swansea & WBA vs Chelsea (6-7-1 & 1-6-7 splits respectively)

Longest odds: Josh Daniels 8181/1
Shortest odds: Doron 877/1
Average odds: 2567/1

Best predictor: Sam Ruback with an average 5/10
Worst predictors: Myself, Menachem, Will O'Doherty & Doron with rather pitiful 2/10s
Average score: 3/10

Best predicted result: Man City WIN (14/14)
Worst predicted results:  Norwich & Sunderland WINS (0/14 - ok, so maybe the Norwich one is acceptable, but really....no-one for Sunderland????)

Villain of the week: No scores high enough to count unfortunately.

Everyone's results:



MATCHDAY 13


This week, 14 people played.
Most popular predicted result: Man Utd WIN (14/14)
Most disputed result: Chelsea vs Man City (5-4-5 split)

Longest odds: Me 17,189/1 
Shortest odds: Jonathan Chernick 1516/1
Average odds: 5434/1

Best predictors: Tarek Najm (turnaround) and Jonathan Chernick 7/10
Worst predictor: Yanik Joshi (2/10)
Average score: 5/10

Best predicted result: Man Utd WIN (14/14)
Worst predicted results:  Aston Villa vs Arsenal & Everton vs Norwich DRAWS (1/14 - pats on the back for Doron and me)

Villain of the week: Still no scores high enough to count. Might consider reviewing the criterion for this element. Gets boring pasting the same line in.  Alternatively, let's get better at predicting...

Everyone's results:



MATCHDAY 14


This week, 14 people played.
Most popular predicted results: Man City & Man Utd WINS (14/14)
Most disputed results: Everton vs Arsenal, Southampton vs Norwich & Stoke vs Newcastle (5-3-6 & 6-3-5 (twice) splits respectively)

Longest odds: Me 5919/1 
Shortest odds: Sam Ruback 1663/1
Average odds: 3156/1

Best predictor: Lawro (7/10)
Worst predictors: Menachem, Richard Verber, Jonathan Chernick, Yanik Joshi & Doron Salomon (4/10)
Average score: 5/10

Best predicted results: Man City & Man Utd WINS (14/14)
Worst predicted result:  Chelsea vs Fulham DRAW (1/14 - Yanik was Yuniq (sorry....) with that one)

Villain of the week: *copy & paste*. Come on guys!

Everyone's results:



Now to a leaderboard that has jumped forward a few weeks in time. As ever, only those who have played >2/3 of weeks get the honour of appearing on the Leaderboard, so that's 10/14 weeks so far (as an aside, I've decided that in these times, to comply with FFP, I'm going to have to sell naming rights for the Leaderboard. I know the traditionalists will be upset, but I feel this will put us in a strong position to compete in the future. I'll accept bids from 1st Dec onwards....).


For the first time this season, the statistical juggernaut that is my primary paternal antecedent has been dislodged from top spot, with Lawro sneaking past by 0.02. Futher proof, were it needed, that the Mayans were right and the world is about to end. Little bit of moving and shaking in the midtable area, with Messrs Ruback and J.Daniels the winners there. Chernick overtakes me again, but the wooden spoon battle has sucked in Feneley, and the whole table has a much more compact look about it than that of a few weeks ago. Still lots of football to predict, so plenty of room for changes though!

To this week's predictions:

West Ham vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Fulham vs Spurs - DRAW
Liverpool vs Southampton - LIVERPOOL
Man City vs Everton - MAN CITY
QPR vs Aston Villa - ASTON VILLA
WBA vs Stoke - WBA
Reading vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Norwich vs Sunderland - NORWICH
Newcastle vs Wigan - NEWCASTLE

Total odds: 937/1 with PaddyPower.

Bon chance mes amis, and normal service will (touch wood, fingers crossed and feed a bunny a 4-leaf clover shake) resume from this week onwards.

13 comments:

Nick said...

West Ham vs Chelsea - DRAW
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Fulham vs Spurs - SPURS
Liverpool vs Southampton - LIVERPOOL
Man City vs Everton - MAN CITY
QPR vs Aston Villa - DRAW
WBA vs Stoke - WBA
Reading vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Norwich vs Sunderland - NORWICH
Newcastle vs Wigan - NEWCASTLE

Josh Gaon said...

West Ham vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Fulham vs Spurs - SPURS
Liverpool vs Southampton - DRAW
Man City vs Everton - CITY
QPR vs Aston Villa - DRAW
WBA vs Stoke - DRAW
Reading vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Norwich vs Sunderland - NORWICH
Newcastle vs Wigan - DRAW

Feneley said...

West Ham vs Chelsea - DRAW
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Fulham vs Spurs - DRAW
Liverpool vs Southampton - LIVERPOOL
Man City vs Everton - MAN CITY
QPR vs Aston Villa - DRAW
WBA vs Stoke - WBA
Reading vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Norwich vs Sunderland - SUNDERLAND
Newcastle vs Wigan - DRAW

3721/1 on MJ

Richard V said...

West Ham vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Fulham vs Spurs - SPURS
Liverpool vs Southampton - LIVERPOOL
Man City vs Everton - MAN CITY
QPR vs Aston Villa - VILLA
WBA vs Stoke - DRAW
Reading vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Norwich vs Sunderland - NORWICH
Newcastle vs Wigan - DRAW

Menachem said...

West Ham vs Chelsea - Chelsea
Arsenal vs Swansea - Arsenal
Fulham vs Spurs - Spurs
Liverpool vs Southampton - Liverpool
Man City vs Everton - Man City
QPR vs Aston Villa - Draw
WBA vs Stoke - WBA
Reading vs Man Utd - Man Utd
Norwich vs Sunderland - Draw
Newcastle vs Wigan - Draw

Tarek said...

West Ham vs Chelsea - DRAW
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Fulham vs Spurs - DRAW
Liverpool vs Southampton - LIVERPOOL
Man City vs Everton - MAN CITY
QPR vs Aston Villa - DRAW
WBA vs Stoke - DRAW
Reading vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Norwich vs Sunderland - SUNDERLAND
Newcastle vs Wigan - DRAW

Steven said...

West Ham vs Chelsea - DRAW
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Fulham vs Spurs - SPURS
Liverpool vs Southampton - LIVERPOOL
Man City vs Everton - MAN CITY
QPR vs Aston Villa - QPR
WBA vs Stoke - WBA
Reading vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Norwich vs Sunderland - DRAW
Newcastle vs Wigan - DRAW


Paddypower 1551 to 1

Doron said...

West Ham vs Chelsea - DRAW
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Fulham vs Spurs - DRAW
Liverpool vs Southampton - LIVERPOOL
Man City vs Everton - DRAW
QPR vs Aston Villa - QPR
WBA vs Stoke - WBA
Reading vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Norwich vs Sunderland - NORWICH
Newcastle vs Wigan - WIGAN

4102/1

Jonathan said...

West Ham vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Fulham vs Spurs - SPURS
Liverpool vs Southampton - LIVERPOOL
Man City vs Everton - MAN CITY
QPR vs Aston Villa - QPR
WBA vs Stoke - WBA
Reading vs Man Utd - DRAW
Norwich vs Sunderland - DRAW
Newcastle vs Wigan - DRAW

Odds (PaddyPower): 2818-1

Yanik said...

West Ham vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Fulham vs Spurs - SPURS
Liverpool vs Southampton - LIVERPOOL
Man City vs Everton - DRAW
QPR vs Aston Villa - DRAW
WBA vs Stoke - WBA
Reading vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Norwich vs Sunderland - NORWICH
Newcastle vs Wigan - NEWCASTLE

Sam Ruback said...

West Ham vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Fulham vs Spurs - FULHAM
Liverpool vs Southampton - LIVERPOOL
Man City vs Everton - MAN CITY
QPR vs Aston Villa - QPR
WBA vs Stoke - STOKE
Reading vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Norwich vs Sunderland - DRAW
Newcastle vs Wigan - NEWCASTLE

1427/1

Josh Daniels said...

West Ham vs Chelsea - DRAW
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Fulham vs Spurs - SPURS
Liverpool vs Southampton - DRAW
Man City vs Everton - MAN CITY
QPR vs Aston Villa - VILLA
WBA vs Stoke - DRAW
Reading vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Norwich vs Sunderland - NORWICH
Newcastle vs Wigan - NEWCASTLE

ODDS OF 5794.43/1

Will O'Doherty said...

West Ham vs Chelsea - DRAW
Arsenal vs Swansea - ARSENAL
Fulham vs Spurs - SPURS
Liverpool vs Southampton - LIVERPOOL
Man City vs Everton - MAN CITY
QPR vs Aston Villa - DRAW
WBA vs Stoke - DRAW
Reading vs Man Utd - MAN UTD
Norwich vs Sunderland - NORWICH
Newcastle vs Wigan - DRAW

Odds: 2794/1