Friday, 16 February 2024

S13M25: Strata

This was doing the round this week on Twitter. 



It's basically a team rating measuring both attack & defence - you can tap Scott up directly for his specific methodology but it fits the eye test. Note - this isn't the league table because results don't equal performances - form can skew things based on sample size etc. But broadly speaking - it's about right. 3 exceptional teams - up there with any in world football. A cluster of 6 who will make up the rest of the european places and compete for cups. Mid-table solidity (including Everton who's league position is artificially low). Lower mid-table precariousness with a bad run or bad injury and then 3 weak teams - with Luton the least bad of these lot. What I like about this graphic is the spacings. Villa are as close to Wolves as they are to City. It speaks to the remarkable consistency of the 3 great teams over a prolonged period - and juxtaposed with Chelsea, Newcastle, Man Utd & Spurs who've all got (different) reasons to believe that they should be able to compete, it lays it all very stark. Special words for Brighton & Brentford, who...as ever....are punching well above their weight.

So no great shock this weekend then.  Easy wins for Man City, Arsenal & Liverpool. Man Utd beat Villa in a closer game, Chelsea overcome a poor Palace side after going behind. Spurs won at home against Brighton also from behind and Brentford won away at Wolves who've lost the flow they'd found before. Slightly upsetting this point was Sheffield United winning away at Luton - a good win for them, but both pretty poor sides, and Fulham beating Bournemouth at home is a likely success for consistency & home advantage. A high scoring week....

Let's get statty

This week, 20 people played
Most popular predicted results: Man City & Liverpool WINS (20/20)
Most disputed result: Fulham vs Bournemouth (11-4-5 split)

Highest odds: Feneley (828/1)
Lowest odds: Josh Daniels (416/1)
Average odds: 702/1

Best predictors: Me & Hannah Skolnick (I know, I know, but your name's locked in now for this season) (8/10)
Worst predictor: Josh Gaon (4/10)
Average score: 6.15/10

Best predicted results: Man City & Liverpool WINS (20/20)
Worst predicted result: Sheff Utd WIN (0/20)

Everyone's results:



To the leaderboard (>2/3; 17/24)

To this week's predos:


Good luck all

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