Thursday, 26 October 2023

S13M10: Elijah Adebayo is the devil

In 12.5 seasons, we've had 6 perfect scores. Every season, we get probably ~750 attempts at the perfect 10. So it's about 9,000 predicted matchdays.

6 out of 9,000. 0.07% probability. We've had a few near misses over the years, but none as close as this week.

As the injury time board went up at the City Ground, we were 8 minutes away from a perfect week. 7. 6. A long ball was punted forward from Luton player A to Luton forward, Elijah Adebayo. I've been on his wikipedia so you don't have to. Career highlights include loans to Slough, Bognor Regis & Cheltenham. He was at Walsall for 3 years. I'm sure this is a career highlight for him. 

He has 2 players around him. Joe Worrall, defending a lead in injurytime like my small children, embarassed himself, his family and the entire City of Nottingham. He's the captain and went AWOL. Adeboyo cushions on his chest, swivels and smashes it low past the helpless Matt Turner. Point rescued.


Pffffffffffffft. That's the sound of air coming out a balloon.

You've taken this very personally, I hear you say. Correct. Because, dear reader, it was I with the 10 in the bag until this demon stole my crowning achievement. 450 of those predictions are mine. My personal success rate is, well, not 0.07%. But it could have been a sensational 0.2%. That would PROVE* the hypothesis that it's worth doing 10 match accas - you'll win in the long term. But alas, I remain at a 0% success rate. 

So, "Elijah Adebayo" or the Great Satan as I'll now be calling him - I'm coming for you.

Also you Joe Worrall. Also you.

*sort of. Your own money is at risk.

Some other stuff happened to, but who cares any more? What's the point when people like Adebayo are free to roam the earth like the sociopaths that they are.

Liverpool won the Merseyside derby. Wolves got a late winer at Bournemouth. Brentford hammered a very bad Burnley side. City beat Brighton, Newcastle thumped Place (should play Rob Holding). Chelsea fluked their way to a 2-0 lead and then let it slip, and Man Utd beat Sheff Utd. Villa thumped West Ham and Spurs beat Fulham comfortably. You all happy now?

Urgh. Adebayo.

Let's get statty:

This week, 22 people played
Most popular predicted results: Man City, Newcastle & Spurs WINS (21/22 - 95%)
Most disputed prediction: Bournemouth vs Wolves (9-6-7 split; 41 -27 -32%)

Highest odds: Hannah Skolnick (2340/1)
Lowest odds: Feneley (192/1)
Average odds: 941/1

Best predictor: Me. (9/10). Oh and WhoScored.cm too but allow those guys.
Worst predictor: David Graniewitz (2/10)
Average score: 7/10 - season record. 

Best predicted results: Man City, Newcastle & Spurs WINS (21/22 - 95%)
Worst predicted result: Notts Forest vs Luton DRAW (3/22 - 14%). Adebayo again.


Everyone's results:

Leaderboard (>2/3; 7/9)


To this week's predos


Good luck all!

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