Thursday, 21 September 2023

S13M6: The Rest is VAR

Someone needs to do some stats.

I don't mean my Key Stage 1 nonsense. I mean proper stats. Like people with beards and star wars and stuff. Because I am *convinced* that there are more late goals than usual, even though *technically* there's the same sort of time to score. I mean, there isn't - the concept of time wasting and time keeping and ball in play is, er, fluid - but there seem to be a lot more goals score after 90+5, than say between 90 & 90+5. Which doesn't make sense. The ball in play number has increased marginally this season - about 3 minutes a game (or a ~6% rise) - I don't believe that super fit, highly drilled athletes suddenly hit a wall before those last few minutes - especially in the 5 sub era.

So, stats boffins. Why?

This week, there were late goals at Wolves (icing), Villa (turnaround) & Spurs (turnaround). Meanwhilst, Luton continued their  quest to finish the season with 0 points, Man Utd doing similar work being dismantled at home to Brighton and Newcastle held off a sprited Brentford. Man City sort of comfortably beat West Ham but made it look harder than it needed to be. Arsenal ended their Goodison hoodoo and Chelsea did their best to ruin my day. I don't know why I'm surprised. That is their raison d'etre.

Then finally, Burnley had a late goal disallowed meaning Forest shared the points. I heard Alistair Campbell moaning about this, but frankly forgot the game was on, so haven't seen it and am bored stiff of VAR controversy and we're in week 5. So, I'll assume he's correct and it was a travesty. Shame for Vinny.


Let's get statty:
This week, 26 people played
Most popular predicted result: Liverpool WIN (26/26 - 100%)
Most disputed prediction: Man Utd vs Brighton (10-11-5 split - 38% - 42% - 19%)

Highest odds: Steven Daniels (1067/1)
Lowest odds: Hannah Skolnick (308/1)
Average odds: 626/1

Best predictors: Chris Sutton & Nathan Daniels (9/10)
Worst predictors: Loads of us (6/10)
Average score: 6.96/10

Best predicted result: Liverpool WIN (26/26 - 100%)
Worst predicted result: Notts Forest vs Burnley DRAW (4/26 - 15%)

Everyone's results:


Leaderboard (>2/3; 4/5)

 

This week's predos:



Good luck everyone!

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