We've learnt that Leicester really did something quite unique last year. We've learnt that the media really need to stop drawing zero-sum conclusions based on small datasets (this may not be an entirely new idea from this season). We've learnt that Klopp & Liverpool go together like Tom Cruise & Jerry Bruckheimer - you know it's box office even though you suspect there might be a little depth issue...
We've learnt that Wazza is a big fan of Farrell/Vaughan comedies from 2005 and that Sunderland are really really terrible (this too, may not be entirely novel). We've also learnt that whilst Friday night football is awful, the little Sky Sports highlights clips provided live (or slightly delayed on Saturdays) are invaluable in freeing up useful TV memory space when MOTD no longer needs recording. This is probably the singlest most beneficial thing so far this season.
1 third of the way in and what I've learnt is that with the exception of Sunderland, there really are no standout teams and very few awful ones. The PL is going to cluster around a top 6, whose lower margins may blur with another 3 or 4. The remaining 9 are but a short Pardewesque streak away from a fantastic season or relegation. This of course makes predictions very tough, because lots of teams are quite equally matched, and even when a disparity exists, the tactics and occasional diamonds (funded by your TV money) mean that there exists a very real chance of the underdog leaving with a little something in their goodie bag.
I have absolutely no intention of following this theory up, but I wonder whether El Impossibilitee or Die Impossibilitee would be any easier than our Anglocentric game. My suspicion is probably not - or at least not statistically so....but amigos & Kamerads....feel free to test this out for yourselves.
Let's get statty:
This week, 22 people played
Most popular predicted result: Man City WIN (22/22)
Most disputed result: Burnley vs Crystal Palace (8-6-8 split)
Highest odds: Me 11,267/1 (not sure how)
Lowest odds: Josh Daniels 451/1
Average odds: 3027/1
Best predictor: Will O'Doherty (6/10)
Worst predictors: David Silverman, Tarek & my mother (2/10)
Average score: 3.68/10 (season lowest)
Best predicted results: Chelsea & Liverpool WINS (20/22)
Worst predicted results: Sunderland, WBA, Hull WINS & Man City vs M'Boro DRAW (0/10 - I believe 4 0s is a new record)
Everyone's results:
Leaderboard (>2/3; 8/11)
To this week's predos:
Man Utd vs Arsenal - DRAW
Crystal Palace vs Man City - MAN CITY
Everton vs Swansea - EVERTON
Southampton vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Stoke vs Bournemouth - STOKE
Sunderland vs Hull City - HULL CITY
Watford vs Leicester - WATFORD
Spurs vs West Ham - DRAW
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Burnley - WBA
Good luck guys!
16 comments:
Man Utd vs Arsenal - UNITED
Crystal Palace vs Man City - MAN CITY
Everton vs Swansea - EVERTON
Southampton vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Stoke vs Bournemouth - STOKE
Sunderland vs Hull City - SUNDERLAND
Watford vs Leicester - DRAW
Spurs vs West Ham - SPURS
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Burnley - DRAW
1630/1
Man Utd vs Arsenal - Arsenal
Crystal Palace vs Man City - Man City
Everton vs Swansea - Everton
Southampton vs Liverpool - Draw
Stoke vs Bournemouth - Stoke
Sunderland vs Hull City - Draw
Watford vs Leicester - Leicester
Spurs vs West Ham - Draw
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - Chelsea
WBA vs Burnley - WBA
Man Utd vs Arsenal - Draw
Crystal Palace vs Man City - Man City
Everton vs Swansea - Everton
Southampton vs Liverpool - Liverpool
Stoke vs Bournemouth - Stoke
Sunderland vs Hull City - Sunderland
Watford vs Leicester - Leicester
Spurs vs West Ham - Spurs
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - Chelsea
WBA vs Burnley - Draw
Man Utd vs Arsenal - DRAW
Crystal Palace vs Man City - MAN CITY
Everton vs Swansea - EVERTON
Southampton vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Stoke vs Bournemouth - STOKE
Sunderland vs Hull City - DRAW
Watford vs Leicester - LEICESTER
Spurs vs West Ham - SPURS
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Burnley - WBA
RDM
Man Utd vs Arsenal - Arsenal
Crystal Palace vs Man City - Crystal Palace
Everton vs Swansea - EVERTON
Southampton vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Stoke vs Bournemouth - Bournemouth
Suunderland vs Hull City - Sunderland
Watford vs Leicester - Draw
Spurs vs West Ham - SPURs
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Burnley - WBA
Odds of 5402/1
SD
Man Utd vs Arsenal - Draw
Crystal Palace vs Man City - City
Everton vs Swansea - EVERTON
Southampton vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Stoke vs Bournemouth - Draw
Suunderland vs Hull City - Sunderland
Watford vs Leicester - Watford
Spurs vs West Ham - SPURs
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Burnley - Draw
odds of 2487/1
max Odds 3680219/1
min odds 748/1
Man Utd vs Arsenal - DRAW
Crystal Palace vs Man City - MAN CITY
Everton vs Swansea - EVERTON
Southampton vs Liverpool - DRAW
Stoke vs Bournemouth - DRAW
Sunderland vs Hull City - SUNDERLAND
Watford vs Leicester - DRAW
Spurs vs West Ham - DRAW
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Burnley - DRAW
Man Utd vs Arsenal - Draw
Crystal Palace vs Man City - Man City
Everton vs Swansea - Everton
Southampton vs Liverpool - Liverpool
Stoke vs Bournemouth - Stoke
Sunderland vs Hull City - Sunderland
Watford vs Leicester - Draw
Spurs vs West Ham - Spurs
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - Chelsea
WBA vs Burnley - West Brom
Man Utd vs Arsenal - MAN UTD
Crystal Palace vs Man City - MAN CITY
Everton vs Swansea - EVERTON
Southampton vs Liverpool - DRAW
Stoke vs Bournemouth - STOKE
Sunderland vs Hull City - DRAW
Watford vs Leicester - LEICESTER
Spurs vs West Ham - SPURS
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Burnley - DRAW
Man Utd vs Arsenal - DRAW
Crystal Palace vs Man City - MAN CITY
Everton vs Swansea - EVERTON
Southampton vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Stoke vs Bournemouth - STOKE
Sunderland vs Hull City - SUNDERLAND
Watford vs Leicester - DRAW
Spurs vs West Ham - SPURS
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Burnley - WBA
Man Utd vs Arsenal - DRAW
Crystal Palace vs Man City - MAN CITY
Everton vs Swansea - EVERTON
Southampton vs Liverpool - DRAW
Stoke vs Bournemouth - STOKE
Sunderland vs Hull City - SUNDERLAND
Watford vs Leicester - LEICESTER
Spurs vs West Ham - SPURS
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Burnley - WBA
United (Arsenal consolidating our usual loss at OT and our loss to mourinho away into one big loss)
City
Everton
Southampton
Draw
Draw
Leicester
Spurs
Chelsea
DRAW
Sorry about th format but my phones copy and past has broken!
Man Utd vs Arsenal - DRAW
Crystal Palace vs Man City - MAN CITY
Everton vs Swansea - EVERTON
Southampton vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Stoke vs Bournemouth - STOKE
Sunderland vs Hull City - SUNDERLAND
Watford vs Leicester - DRAW
Spurs vs West Ham - SPURS
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Burnley - WBA
Man Utd vs Arsenal - Arsenal
Crystal Palace vs Man City - MAN CITY
Everton vs Swansea - EVERTON
Southampton vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Stoke vs Bournemouth - STOKE
Sunderland vs Hull City - Sunderland
Watford vs Leicester - Draw
Spurs vs West Ham - Spurs
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Burnley - WBA
Sorry for not playing last week. AFM and I had our post all ready to send, then failed to actually send it. A good week to miss out on though!
AF
Man Utd vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Crystal Palace vs Man City - MAN CITY
Everton vs Swansea - DRAW
Southampton vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Stoke vs Bournemouth - STOKE
Sunderland vs Hull City - HULL CITY
Watford vs Leicester - LEICESTER
Spurs vs West Ham - SPURS
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - DRAW
WBA vs Burnley - WBA
9073/1
AFM
Man Utd vs Arsenal - ARSENAL
Crystal Palace vs Man City - MAN CITY
Everton vs Swansea - DRAW
Southampton vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Stoke vs Bournemouth - STOKE
Sunderland vs Hull City - SUNDERLAND
Watford vs Leicester - DRAW
Spurs vs West Ham - SPURS
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Burnley - WBA
2654/1
Man Utd vs Arsenal - Arsenal
Crystal Palace vs Man City - MAN CITY
Everton vs Swansea - EVERTON
Southampton vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Stoke vs Bournemouth - STOKE
Sunderland vs Hull City - SUNDERLAND
Watford vs Leicester - watford
Spurs vs West Ham - SPURS
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Burnley - DRAW
1466/1
Man Utd vs Arsenal - bit late, oops
Crystal Palace vs Man City - MAN CITY
Everton vs Swansea - EVERTON
Southampton vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Stoke vs Bournemouth - DRAW
Sunderland vs Hull City - SUNDERLAND
Watford vs Leicester - WATFORD
Spurs vs West Ham - DRAW
Middlesborough vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
WBA vs Burnley - WBA
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