Tuesday, 18 November 2014

S4M11 (mk 2): I can count, I promise

Thank to the FIFA gods for the international break. Yeah, I mean that. It's given me opportunity to track back through the stats and find out why you're all so moany abut your scores.

In fairness, they were wrong. As Impossibilitee Overlord, the buck stops here. I apologise for any wrong doing. However, in true Blatterian style, I've decided to ignore the clamours for an independent review of the database, and done it myself.

Basically...er....week 5 was counted twice. As week 7. The real week 7 became week 8 and so on. Therefore, this week's post was initially titled "S4M12: somthing funny here", but then I noticed that the League table stated P11 for all teams. So I did my review. And have fixed the problem. Not a £16k watch involved. Although gifts are gratefully received - the more frivolous the better. Get in touch and I'll let you know how to send your bribes offerings signs-of-appreciation-that-have-no-role-in-trying-to-curry-favour.

Anyway - small amounts of blame attached to you all for failing to notice the incorrect counting of weeks. You can't whistle blow if you're not in a greenhouse with stones, as the saying should go.

Anyway, all fixed now so that's good.

The last weekend was too long ago to do a proper review - suffice it to say that Chelsea, Newcastle, Swansea and Burnley were happy and no-one else was. I refuse to allow Man Utd fans to be happy with a squeaky 1-0 win at home to Palace. My ball, my rules.

Let's get statty:

This week, 23 people played
Most popular predicted result: Man Utd WIN (23/23)
Most disputed result: Burnley vs Hull (8-6-9 split)

Highest odds*: Josh Daniels 2,542/1
Lowest odds: Sam Ruback 760/1
Average odds*: 1,563/1

* AFM's odds have been discounted due to them being >100x the next highest odds whilst only being 2 results different & those are games that the bookies definitely did not put those kind of odds on. I have presumed this is erroneous.  A further investigation is taking place, and this will be amended should I see proof of those odds being offered by a UK licensed bookmaker and not AFD (who may be a UK licensed bookmaker, but then I want to see his licence too. And working out).

Best predictor: Doron Salomon (6/10)
Worst predictors: Loads of people (3/10)
Average score: 4.09/10

Best predicted result: Man Utd WIN (23/23)
Worst predicted result: QPR vs Man City DRAW & Stoke WIN (1/23 - congrats to Josh Daniels & Adrian Daniels respectively)

Everyone's scores:


Now for the new, amended leaderboard, for those who have played >2/3 of weeks (8/11):


So the first thing to note is how most people's scores have increased. This is due to Week 5 having been a bad week for most. The next, is the drop from Yo Abbott & AFM. Doron has also edged closer to his usual spot. Former champs ECI are slowly clawing back the deficit too. No huge changes elsewhere, although Verbinho has snuck up into 3rd place. Don't think I didn't notice. Hot on his tail are 3 statistical behemoths however. And Sam, Charlie & Jonny.

To this week's predos:

Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs West Ham - DRAW
Leicester vs Sunderland - LEICESTER
Man City vs Swansea - MAN CITY
Newcastle vs QPR - NEWCASTLE
Stoke vs Burnley - STOKE
Arsenal vs Man Utd - ARSENAL
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Hull vs Spurs - SPURS
Aston Villa vs Southampton - SOUTHAMPTON

Total odds: 629/1 (PaddyPower)

16 comments:

Joe Abbott said...

Chelsea vs WBA - Chelsea
Everton vs West Ham - Everton
Leicester vs Sunderland - Draw
Man City vs Swansea - Man City
Newcastle vs QPR - Draw
Stoke vs Burnley - Stoke
Arsenal vs Man Utd - Arsenal
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - Liverpool
Hull vs Spurs - Hull
Aston Villa vs Southampton - Aston Villa

Will O'Doherty said...

Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs West Ham - EVERTON
Leicester vs Sunderland - DRAW
Man City vs Swansea - MAN CITY
Newcastle vs QPR - NEWCASTLE
Stoke vs Burnley - STOKE
Arsenal vs Man Utd - DRAW
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Hull vs Spurs - SPURS
Aston Villa vs Southampton - SOUTHAMPTON

Tarek said...

Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs West Ham - EVERTON
Leicester vs Sunderland - DRAW
Man City vs Swansea - MAN CITY
Newcastle vs QPR - NEWCASTLE
Stoke vs Burnley - STOKE
Arsenal vs Man Utd - ARSENAL
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Hull vs Spurs - SPURS
Aston Villa vs Southampton - SOUTHAMPTON

Steven said...

Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs West Ham - DRAW
Leicester vs Sunderland - SUNDERLAND
Man City vs Swansea - MAN CITY
Newcastle vs QPR - NEWCASTLE
Stoke vs Burnley - STOKE
Arsenal vs Man Utd - ARSENAL
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - DRAW
Hull vs Spurs - SPURS
Aston Villa vs Southampton - SOUTHAMPTON

Total odds: 2236/1 (PaddyPower)

Josh Gaon said...

Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs West Ham - DRAW
Leicester vs Sunderland - DRAW
Man City vs Swansea - MAN CITY
Newcastle vs QPR - NEWCASTLE
Stoke vs Burnley - STOKE
Arsenal vs Man Utd - DRAW
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Hull vs Spurs - DRAW
Aston Villa vs Southampton - SOUTHAMPTON

Jonathan said...

Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs West Ham - EVERTON
Leicester vs Sunderland - DRAW
Man City vs Swansea - MAN CITY
Newcastle vs QPR - NEWCASTLE
Stoke vs Burnley - DRAW
Arsenal vs Man Utd - ARSENAL
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Hull vs Spurs - DRAW
Aston Villa vs Southampton - SOUTHAMPTON

adrian said...

Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs West Ham - EVERTON
Leicester vs Sunderland - LEICESTER
Man City vs Swansea - MAN CITY
Newcastle vs QPR - NEWCASTLE
Stoke vs Burnley - STOKE
Arsenal vs Man Utd - DRAW
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Hull vs Spurs - SPURS
Aston Villa vs Southampton - SOUTHAMPTON

Feneley said...

So, I've been under investigation this week for fraud by misrepresentation of AFM's odds. I'm not going to release the full report but the executive summary absolves me of all responsibility.

Anyway, on to this week:

My predictions

Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs West Ham - DRAW
Leicester vs Sunderland - LEICESTER
Man City vs Swansea - MAN CITY
Newcastle vs QPR - DRAW
Stoke vs Burnley - STOKE
Arsenal vs Man Utd - ARSENAL
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Hull vs Spurs - SPURS
Aston Villa vs Southampton - ASTON VILLA

At odds of 4315/1

AFM has gone for:

Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs West Ham - WEST HAM
Leicester vs Sunderland - SUNDERLAND
Man City vs Swansea - DRAW
Newcastle vs QPR - NEWCASTLE
Stoke vs Burnley - DRAW
Arsenal vs Man Utd - ARSENAL
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - CRYSTAL PALACE
Hull vs Spurs - HULL
Aston Villa vs Southampton - ASTON VILLA

At odds of 4315/1

Feneley said...

Correction, AFM's odds are a much more normal-for-her 79546/1

David SIL said...

Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs West Ham - EVERTON
Leicester vs Sunderland - DRAW
Man City vs Swansea - MAN CITY
Newcastle vs QPR - NEWCASTLE
Stoke vs Burnley - STOKE
Arsenal vs Man Utd - ARSENAL
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Hull vs Spurs - DRAW
Aston Villa vs Southampton - SOUTHAMPTON

Doron said...

Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs West Ham - EVERTON
Leicester vs Sunderland - DRAW
Man City vs Swansea - MAN CITY
Newcastle vs QPR - NEWCASTLE
Stoke vs Burnley - STOKE
Arsenal vs Man Utd - UNITED
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - DRAW
Hull vs Spurs - HULL
Aston Villa vs Southampton - SOUTHAMPTON

BEST PREDICTOR! HELLO!

Odds: 2242/1

Menachem said...

Chelsea vs WBA - Chelsea
Everton vs West Ham - Everton
Leicester vs Sunderland - Draw
Man City vs Swansea - Man City
Newcastle vs QPR - Newcastle
Stoke vs Burnley - Stoke
Arsenal vs Man Utd - Draw
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - Liverpool
Hull vs Spurs - Spurs
Aston Villa vs Southampton - Saints

David Dinkin said...

Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs West Ham - EVERTON
Leicester vs Sunderland - LEICESTER
Man City vs Swansea - MAN CITY
Newcastle vs QPR - NEWCASTLE
Stoke vs Burnley - STOKE
Arsenal vs Man Utd - ARSENAL
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Hull vs Spurs - SPURS
Aston Villa vs Southampton - DRAW

Sam Ruback said...

Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs West Ham - EVERTON
Leicester vs Sunderland - DRAW
Man City vs Swansea - MAN CITY
Newcastle vs QPR - NEWCASTLE
Stoke vs Burnley - BURNLEY
Arsenal vs Man Utd - ARSENAL
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - PALACE
Hull vs Spurs - SPURS
Aston Villa vs Southampton - DRAW

6905/1

Josh Daniels said...

Chelsea vs WBA - CHELSEA
Everton vs West Ham - Everton
Leicester vs Sunderland - LEICESTER
Man City vs Swansea - MAN CITY
Newcastle vs QPR - draw
Stoke vs Burnley - drse
Arsenal vs Man Utd - ARSENAL
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - LIVERPOOL
Hull vs Spurs - hull
Aston Villa vs Southampton - SOUTHAMPTON

Total odds: 2929/1 (PaddyPower)

Eli D said...

Chelsea vs WBA - Chelsea
Everton vs West Ham - Draw
Leicester vs Sunderland - Sunderland
Man City vs Swansea - Man City
Newcastle vs QPR - Newcastle
Stoke vs Burnley - Stoke
Arsenal vs Man Utd - Arsenal
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - Liverpool
Hull vs Spurs - Spurs
Aston Villa vs Southampton - Saints