Thursday 27 March 2014

M30 Results & M32 Predos - London Bloody Buses!

I'm not going to expound this week as I did last time around about all the matches that occurred. Partly, that's utter cowardice to hide from a horrific week, partly it's because I wrote a lot last week and I don't want to go on and on every week, but mainly, it's because it's actually gone and happened.

10/10. The jackpot. Perfect predictions.

But there's more....

Not just 1 person....nah, that's not how we do it here (royal we, I certainly didn't score 10) - 2 genii have shown there innate footy knowledge...and thank jeebus one of them wasn't Lawro.

I reckon it was a perfect storm of some easy to predict games and some luck (Pappiss Cisse, ya utter ^?&#) - but regardless...this project was started to see whether it'd be possible to actually predict all 10 Premier League fixtures correctly.

Back then, I calculated (using highly basic maths) that odds of this occurring were ~3000/1. To date, 1874 individual matchday predictions have been made (no.players per week x total number of weeks) - and now we have had 2 successes, suggesting that actually...once every ~937 bets, someone should get it right*. Basically...if you put a £10 on your accumulator every week, you should be in profit eventually, although it might take nearly 30 years!

*Obviously this is completely wrong. The sample size is far too small to draw these kind of conclusions, but that'd make a crap blog so in the interests of poetic licence, I'm choosing to ignore this point

Let's do the big reveal and get statty:

This week, 21 people played
The most predicted results were Liverpool & Everton WINS (21/21)
The most disputed result was Chelsea vs Arsenal (10-7-4 split...too many gooners....)

The highest odds were a quite frankly ridiculous 21, 452/1 from, no prizes for guessing, Josh Daniels
The lowest odds were Steven Daniels' 1454/1
Average odds: 9386/1

Best predictors: EuroClubIndex & FinkTank - 10/10!!!! Still no perfect humans though!
Worst predictor: Josh Daniels (4/10). Shock horror
Average score: 7.32/10 - a new record I believe!

Best predicted result: Liverpool & Everton WINS (21/21)
Worst predicted result: Chelsea, Hull & Norwich WINS (10/21)

Everyone's results:


Leaderboard:



To this week's predictions:

Man Utd vs Aston Villa - MAN UTD
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Southampton vs Newcastle - SOUTHAMPTON
Stoke vs Hull - STOKE
Swansea vs Norwich - DRAW
WBA vs Cardiff - DRAW
Arsenal vs Man City - DRAW
Fulham vs Everton - EVERTON
Liverpool vs Spurs - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs West Ham - SUNDERLAND

Total odds: 1983/1 (PaddyPower)

Good luck guys, let's see if we've unlocked the secret now!

12 comments:

Josh Gaon said...

Man Utd vs Aston Villa - MAN UTD
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Southampton vs Newcastle - SOUTHAMPTON
Stoke vs Hull - STOKE
Swansea vs Norwich - SWANSEA
WBA vs Cardiff - WBA
Arsenal vs Man City - CITY
Fulham vs Everton - EVERTON
Liverpool vs Spurs - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs West Ham - DRAW

Hopefully should bring my quota up so im on the leader board soon. Although I fear I might be propping it up on my return!

Adrian said...

Man Utd vs Aston Villa - VILLA
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Southampton vs Newcastle - SOUTHAMPTON
Stoke vs Hull - STOKE
Swansea vs Norwich - DRAW
WBA vs Cardiff - DRAW
Arsenal vs Man City - CITY
Fulham vs Everton - EVERTON
Liverpool vs Spurs - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs West Ham - SUNDERLAND

Richard V said...

Man Utd vs Aston Villa - MAN UTD
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Southampton vs Newcastle - DRAW
Stoke vs Hull - STOKE
Swansea vs Norwich - SWANSEA
WBA vs Cardiff - WBA
Arsenal vs Man City - CITY
Fulham vs Everton - EVERTON
Liverpool vs Spurs - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs West Ham - DRAW

Josh Daniels said...

Man Utd vs Aston Villa - MAN UTD
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Southampton vs Newcastle - Newcastle
Stoke vs Hull - STOKE
Swansea vs Norwich - draw
WBA vs Cardiff - WBA
Arsenal vs Man City - Arsenal (if i get 9 and this is the one that costs me then so be it,)
Fulham vs Everton - EVERTON
Liverpool vs Spurs - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs West Ham - Sunderland

3083/1

Eli D said...

Man Utd vs Aston Villa - Man Utd
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Southampton vs Newcastle - SOUTHAMPTON
Stoke vs Hull - STOKE
Swansea vs Norwich - Swansea
WBA vs Cardiff - DRAW
Arsenal vs Man City - Arsenal
Fulham vs Everton - EVERTON
Liverpool vs Spurs - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs West Ham - DRAW

Unknown said...

Man Utd vs Aston Villa - Man Utd
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Southampton vs Newcastle - SOUTHAMPTON
Stoke vs Hull - STOKE
Swansea vs Norwich - Swansea
WBA vs Cardiff - DRAW
Arsenal vs Man City - DRAW
Fulham vs Everton - EVERTON
Liverpool vs Spurs - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs West Ham - DRAW

Steven said...

Man Utd vs Aston Villa - MAN UTD
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Southampton vs Newcastle - SOUTHAMPTON
Stoke vs Hull - STOKE
Swansea vs Norwich - SWANSEA
WBA vs Cardiff - WBA
Arsenal vs Man City -MAN CITY
Fulham vs Everton - EVERTON
Liverpool vs Spurs - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs West Ham - SUNDERLAND

Total odds:344/1 (PaddyPower)

Feneley said...

As you've all missed her presence in the FA cup game this season, this weekend's predictions are brought to you in conjunction with Lynda (and actually my non-football-supporting Dad). Call it a Mothers' Day special .

Man Utd vs Aston Villa - MAN UTD
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Southampton vs Newcastle - DRAW
Stoke vs Hull - STOKE
Swansea vs Norwich - SWANSEA
WBA vs Cardiff - DRAW
Arsenal vs Man City - DRAW (because we can't bet against Arsenal)
Fulham vs Everton - EVERTON
Liverpool vs Spurs - SPURS
Sunderland vs West Ham - DRAW

Odds of 12,652/1 on MJ

Feneley said...

We probably shouldn't have been drinking before we made these predictions

David Dinkin said...

Man Utd vs Aston Villa - MAN UTD
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Southampton vs Newcastle - SOUTHAMPTON
Stoke vs Hull - DRAW
Swansea vs Norwich - SWANSEA
WBA vs Cardiff - West BROM
Arsenal vs Man City - CITY
Fulham vs Everton - DRAW
Liverpool vs Spurs - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs West Ham - SUNDERLAND

Charlie R said...

Man Utd vs Aston Villa - MAN UTD
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Southampton vs Newcastle - SOUTHAMPTON
Stoke vs Hull - STOKE
Swansea vs Norwich - SWANSEA
WBA vs Cardiff - WBA
Arsenal vs Man City - DRAW
Fulham vs Everton - EVERTON
Liverpool vs Spurs - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs West Ham - SUNDERLAND

JT said...

Back after a brief hiatus...

Man Utd vs Aston Villa - MAN UTD
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea - CHELSEA
Southampton vs Newcastle - SOUTHAMPTON
Stoke vs Hull - STOKE
Swansea vs Norwich - SWANSEA
WBA vs Cardiff - DRAW
Arsenal vs Man City - CITY
Fulham vs Everton - EVERTON
Liverpool vs Spurs - LIVERPOOL
Sunderland vs West Ham - SUNDERLAND